Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 171002
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...TONIGHT.


HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...TONIGHT.


DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST
CENTRAL..AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY...AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AS
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE LIMITED FOR MOST OF THE
DAY...HOWEVER AS THE SYSTEM DRAWS CLOSER TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AREAWIDE. A LIMITED SEVERE RISK
WILL ALSO BE IN PLACE...MAINLY TONIGHT. ONE OR TWO STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE FROM THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY INTO WESTERN MISSOURI BY LATE SUNDAY.
DURING THIS PERIOD...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TROUGH
MOST OF THE WEEKEND. A LIMITED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE MAINTAINED AS WELL...AND WILL CARRY THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

THE UPPER PATTERN WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK...RESULTING IN LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES JUST ABOUT EVERY
DAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






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