Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 171822
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK..CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
114 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
114 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
A SECOND ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING...AND PERSIST INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME OF THE INITIAL STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE...WITH HAIL AND STRONG WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. THE EVENT
WILL THEN TRANSITION OVER TO A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN THREAT
OVERNIGHT...WITH AROUND A HALF INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY AS A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS
OVER THE REGION. THOUGH THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING...UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM COULD ALSO TRIGGER A FEW STRONGER STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. THE SYSTEM WILL FINALLY PUSH
NORTHEAST OF THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...LEAVING MONDAY DRY BUT
COOLER. THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED...WITH
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING BY MID NEXT
WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
WITH THE RECENT RAINS AND THE AMOUNT OF ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS...FLOODING
COULD BECOME A CONCERN.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

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