Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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000
FNAK79 PAFG 041704
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR YTA DMPTR...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
904 AM AKDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0839 AKDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STILL IS THE DOMINANT FEATURE FOR THE
FORECAST AREA BUT THERE ARE A COUPLE OF UPPER LEVEL TROFS THAT WILL CUT
INTO THE RIDGE AND PROVIDE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR A FEW SHOWERS ON
TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FORECAST AREA. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REFORM
AND STRENGTHEN TUE NIGHT AND RH VALUES WILL FALL WEDNESDAY.
ADDITIONALLY...THE LOWER LEVEL THERMAL TROF WILL MIGRATE NORTHWARD TO
NEAR FAIRBANKS AND EAS TO WEST FROM THERE ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
STRENGTHEN SURFACE WINDS AND WILL LIKELY PROVIDE ENOUGH DRYING AND WIND
FOR RED FLAGS TO BE OF A CONCERN AT THAT TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600-10600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900-10500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FREEMAN
REQUESTED BY...WADE MCPHETRDIGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150504.YTADM.01/AFG


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