Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
000
FNUS71 KCTP 280003
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 251...PA GAME COMM.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
803 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2015 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF TONIGHT...AS A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DRIFTS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE REGION. FAIR WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY...AS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE STATE.

&&

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800-2200 FT
                    AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    14 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............73  67  57  52  60  75  82  77  67  61
WEATHER COV.........SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................46  46  45  45  45  45  44  43  42  41
RH..................73  71  69  68  69  71  72  76  80  84
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......2   3   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.6 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.2 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....24  24  23  22  21  21  20  17  16  14
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5600-6600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............60  57  55  56  57  59  59  59  59  59  59  55
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  41  45  48  52  56  57  59  60  61  62  62
RH..................88  84  72  65  59  54  51  49  47  45  43  42
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   8   9   9   10  12  12  13  13  13  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.6 0.6 1.0 2.1 3.5 4.8 5.6 6.1 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  13  13  14  16  18  18  18  18  18  17  17
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-6100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 2 TO 7
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............47  39  35  35  35  34  34  34  34  34  34  34
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61  59  56  54  52  50  50  49  48  47  46  45
RH..................44  49  55  60  65  71  73  75  76  81  85  91
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......10  9   7   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10                  5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......6.1 5.6 4.8 3.3 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....17  17  16  12  7   3   2   3   5   5   3   3
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/FITZGERALD
REQUESTED BY...BRENT MCNEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150428.SGL25.01/CTP


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.