Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FNUS73 KEAX 231338
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWAN MARSH CROP FIELD...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
838 AM CDT THU APR 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

CLOUD DECK WILL LIKELY HANG AROUND FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS WITH A FEW
BREAKS DEVELOPING BY NOON. WINDS WILL STAY FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON BUT HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO AROUND 40 PERCENT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........57  42  43  49  51  56  62  64
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............48  51  53  55  57  61  62  63
RH..............58  51  48  47  45  41  41  42
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   10  12  12  12  10  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........54  57  63  69  75  81  84  85  89  92  95  98
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............60  58  55  53  53  53  52  52  51  50  49  49
RH..............48  53  58  62  62  62  61  65  70  74  79  82
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9   8   8   8   10  13  14  14  13  13  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10      15  20  20  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.70 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........100 99  96  93  90  87  85  87  90  93  96  99
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............49  49  50  50  51  53  54  56  58  61  64  67
RH..............85  90  94  97  100 100 100 100 96  91  83  77
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...HAWBLITZEL
REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150423.SWANM.01/EAX






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