Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS72 KILM 281704
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR JONE 4 28 15...NC STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
104 PM EDT TUE APR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY.
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST WILL BRING INCREASING
RAIN CHANCES WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT WETTING
RAINFALL.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL AT IGNITION... INCREASING TO 5700
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....SMOKE DISPERSION POOR DUE TO LIGHT WIND SPEEDS.

TIME (EDT)          3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............9      19
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................67     68
RH..................35     34
20 FT WIND..........N 6    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10
MIX HGT (FT)........5300   5700
TRANSPORT WIND......N 10   N 8
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...57     43

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (690-22310 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............22     27     39     52     64     82
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................68     62     56     53     52     50
RH..................36     51     62     65     70     75
20 FT WIND..........NE 3   E 2    NE 2   E 3    E 5    E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5             5      8      5
MIX HGT (FT)........3900   300    300    200    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......N 6    E 2    E 3    E 5    E 7    E 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...22     1      1      1      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG
REQUESTED BY...GARRETT GERMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150428.JONE4.01/ILM



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