Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 171155
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR HU3...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
755 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0720 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CHANGEABLE/UNCERTAIN WIND FORECAST AS A WEAK
BOUNDARY VERY NEAR THE PROPOSED BURN ZONE WASHES OUT DURING
THE LATE MORNING. SHALLOW NORTHEAST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHEAST AND THEN SOUTHWEST AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS
INTO SOUTH FLORIDA BY THIS AFTERNOON.

EXPECT SMOKE DISPERSION TO BE GENERALLY POOR...PERHAPS BECOMING
MARGINALLY FAIR BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON IF PRECIPITATION HOLDS
OFF UNTIL LATER...WHICH SEEMS UNLIKELY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 INCREASING TO 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........59  59  59  67  67  67  75  75  75  75  75
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH CHC CHC LKL LKL LKL LKL
WEATHER TYPE....FOG MIST    RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............69  74  77  79  80  82  83  83  83  83  83
RH..............100 100 90  80  74  71  66  64  63  61  65
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  E   SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.                    10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 DECREASING TO 4 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........75  75  75  75  75  75  75  75  55  55  55  55
WEATHER COV.....LKL LKL CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............81  79  77  76  74  73  72  72  71  71  71  71
RH..............65  70  76  79  86  89  92  92  95  95  96  96
20 FT WIND DIR..W   NW  NW  W   SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.        5           5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41 INCREASING TO 59 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........55     57     57     57     75     75
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............71     72     78     82     85     84
RH..............96     93     76     65     55     57
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 5   SW 6   W 7    W 9    W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5                           10     10

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150417.HU3__.01/MLB



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