Issued by NWS Columbia, SC
000
AXUS72 KCAE 191938
DGTCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-037-039-055-057-061
-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-201200-
DROUGHT STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
230 PM EST THU NOV 19 2009
...RAINS FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM IDA ENDED MODERATE AND
SEVERE DROUGHT IN NORTHEAST AND NORTHERN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.
SYNOPSIS...
HEAVY RAINS OVER THE TWO WEEKS LED TO IMPROVEMENT IN DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST AND NORTHERN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.
NORMAL TO AS MUCH AS 4 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL AMOUNTS FELL ACROSS SOUTH
CAROLINA AND EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THAT TIME PERIOD WITH THE
HEAVIEST RAINS OCCURRING OVER SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
AND OVER THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF SOUTH CAROLINA. ONLY NORMAL AMOUNTS
FELL ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND UP INTO NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH
CAROLINA. HEAVY RAINS ALSO OCCURRED IN THE UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA
AND JUST SOUTH OF CHARLOTTE NORTH CAROLINA.
HEAVY RAINS LED TO RIVER FLOODING LAST WEEK ON THE CONGAREE...
ENOREE...SALUDA...BROAD AND THE PEE DEE RIVERS AS WELL AS THE
STEVENS CREEK.
EVAPORATION RATES HAVE BEEN RUNNING LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH
OVER THE PAST TWO WEEKS AS WELL AND VEGETATION IS NOW DORMANT ACROSS
THE AREA. THESE TWO FACTORS WILL DECREASE DEMAND ON SOIL MOISTURE.
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE DROUGHT DESIGNATION DECLARED BY THE
STATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA DROUGHT RESPONSE COMMITTEE SINCE OCTOBER 16
2009. YORK...CHESTER...FAIRFIELD...LANCASTER...CHESTERFIELD
KERSHAW ...DARLINGTON...MARLBORO AND DILLON COUNTIES CONTINUE TO BE
IN INCIPIENT DROUGHT.
THE STATUS OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES IN INCIPIENT DROUGHT IN
OUR AREA CAN BE FOUND BELOW.
FAIRFIELD...KERSHAW... LANCASTER AND CHESTERFIELD COUNTIES ARE IN
INCIPIENT DROUGHT.
THE LATEST WATER CONSERVATION ACTIVITIES UNDERWAY IN SOUTH CAROLINA
CAN BE FOUND AT THE SOUTH CAROLINA DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES
WEBSITE AT: WWW.DNR.SC.GOV/PLS/DROUGHT/DROUGHT_RESTRICT ALL IN LOWER
CASE LETTERS.
SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS...
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR VALID ON NOVEMBER 19 2009 FOR DATA THROUGH
NOVEMBER 17 2009 REMOVED SEVERE...D2 AND MODERATE...D1 DROUGHT FROM
THE AREA. ONLY ABNORMALLY DRY...D0 DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAIN IN
SOUTH CAROLINA.
D0...ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS COVERED A SMALL PART OF NORTHEAST
SOUTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...MUCH OF
CHESTERFIELD...ALL OF MARLBORO...MARION...FLORENCE...DARLINGTON
COUNTIES AND EXTREME EASTERN SUMTER...EXTREME NORTHERN
WILLIAMSBURG AND THE NORTHEAST HALF OF LEE COUNTY IN SOUTH
CAROLINA.
THE REST OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER BASIN IN
GEORGIA WERE NOT IN DROUGHT.
GROUND WATER CONDITIONS...
ALL OF THE GROUND WATER NETWORK MAINTAINED BY THE UNITED STATES
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY USED IN THIS REPORT SHOWED IMPROVEMENT OR NO
CHANGE SINCE THE LAST REPORT. HOWEVER LEVELS STILL REMAIN IN THE
BELOW NORMAL TO RECORD LOW RANGE.
A HIGHER NUMBER MEANS A LOWER WATER TABLE AND THEREFORE LESS GROUND
WATER.
BAKER CREEK STATE PARK WELL BERKELEY COUNTY AIRPORT
NOVEMBER 04 2009 40.62 FEET 60.87 FEET
NOVEMBER 19 2009 40.40 FEET REC LOW 60.68 FEET 10-24 PCTLE
DIFFERENCE PLUS 0.22 FEET PLUS 0.19 FEET
JACKSON SC CHESTER COUNTY
NOVEMBER 04 2009 163.96 FEET 91.78 FEET
NOVEMBER 19 2009 163.88 FEET REC LOW 91.78 FEET 10-24 PCTLE
DIFFERENCE PLUS 0.08 FEET NO CHG 0.00 FEET
RIVER AND STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS...
OVER THE PAST 7 DAYS...ENDING ON NOVEMBER 18 2009...AVERAGE OR ABOVE
AVERAGE FLOW CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED OVER ALL OF SOUTH CAROLINA.
A SNAPSHOT OF FLOW OF SELECTED RANKED GAGES ON NOVEMBER 19 2009
INDICATED FLOWS 175 PERCENT OF MEDIAN FLOW. RANKED GAGES IN SOUTH
CAROLINA ON NOVEMBER 19 2009 INDICATE HIGHER FLOW THAN THAT REPORTED
ON NOVEMBER 4 2009 WITH ONLY 9 PERCENT REPORTING BELOW NORMAL
FLOW...LESS THAT 25 PERCENT OF MEDIAN FLOW. OVER 50 PERCENT
REPORTED GREATER THAN NORMAL FLOW...75 PERCENTILE OR GREATER FLOW.
RESERVOIRS...
LEVELS ON SELECTED RESERVOIRS HAVE RISEN SIGNIFICANTLY EXCEPT LAKE
WATEREE SINCE NOVEMBER 4 2009.
LAKE RUSSELL LAKE THURMOND
NOVEMBER 18 2009 472.91 FEET 330.29 FEET
NOVEMBER 04 2009 472.35 FEET 328.17 FEET
DIFFERENCE PLUS 0.56 FEET PLUS 2.12 FEET
LAKE GREENWOOD LAKE MURRAY
NOVEMBER 19 2009 98.73 FEET 357.45 FEET
NOVEMBER 04 2009 97.14 FEET 357.05 FEET
DIFFERENCE PLUS 1.59 FEET PLUS 0.40 FEET
LAKE MARION LAKE WATEREE
NOVEMBER 19 2009 76.37 FEET 96.31 FEET
NOVEMBER 04 2009 73.78 FEET 97.16 FEET
DIFFERENCE PLUS 2.59 FEET MINUS 0.85 FEET
THE LEVEL ON LAKE THURMOND IS NOW 5.4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND THE
LEVEL OF LAKE RUSSELL IS NOW 0.6 FEET BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. LAKE WATEREE IS 1.5 FEET ABOVE THE TARGET LEVEL OF 95.7 FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.
DATA FOR THIS SEGMENT WAS GATHERED FROM THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL
SURVEY...THE UNITED STATES ARMY CORP OF ENGINEERS AND DUKE ENERGY.
CLIMATE SUMMARY...
PRECIPITATION FROM JANUARY 01 2009 THROUGH NOVEMBER 18 2009
STATION PRECIPITATION DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL PERCENT OF NORMAL
COLUMBIA SC 44.48 INCHES PLUS 0.79 INCHES 102 PERCENT
AUGUSTA GA 40.60 INCHES PLUS 0.22 INCHES 101 PERCENT
PRECIPITATION FROM NOVEMBER 01 TO NOVEMBER 18 2009
COLUMBIA SC 3.09 INCHES PLUS 1.41 INCHES 184 PERCENT
AUGUSTA GA 4.60 INCHES PLUS 2.98 INCHES 284 PERCENT
PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
CURRENT FORECAST OUT TO 7 DAYS...
PROGRESSIVE FLOW ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES WILL BRING A
GOOD RAIN MAKER TO THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES THIS WEEKEND.
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR OVER ONE INCH RAINS MAINLY THIS SUNDAY.
IT SHOULD BE DRY AFTER THAT FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK VALID FROM NOVEMBER 24 TO NOVEMBER 28 2009
CALLS FOR A 40 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
A 40 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS BOTH
SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA.
THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK VALID FROM NOVEMBER 26 TO DECEMBER 02 2009
CALLS FOR A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS
ALL OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA. THERE IS A 40 TO 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CAROLINA
AND GEORGIA.
THE OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER 2009 CALLS FOR AN EQUAL CHANCE OF
ABOVE...BELOW OR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS ALL OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA.
THERE IS A 33 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA. THERE IS A AN
EQUAL CHANCE OF ABOVE...NORMAL OR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST HALF OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA.
THE 3 MONTH OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER 2009 AND JANUARY AND FEBRUARY 2010
CALLS FOR A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURE ACROSS ALL
OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA.
THERE IS A 33 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA...EQUAL CHANCES OF
ABOVE...NORMAL OR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL
THIRD OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA AND A 33 PERCENT CHANCE OF BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF SOUTH CAROLINA
AND GEORGIA.
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
MEDIUM RANGE OUTLOOKS GENERALLY FAVOR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE
CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA.
LONGER RANGE OUTLOOKS ARE MORE UNCERTAIN BUT AT LEAST NORMAL
PRECIPITATION CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF SOUTH
CAROLINA AND GEORGIA..
THESE OUTLOOKS COMBINED WITH LOW EVAPORATION RATES AND DORMANT
VEGETATION FAVOR CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT AREA.
THE SEVERE AND MODERATE DROUGHT HAS ENDED SO THIS WILL BE THE LAST
DROUGHT STATEMENT FOR THIS DRY EVENT.
RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT DROUGHT MAY BE FOUND AT THE
FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE CLIMATOLOGIST... HTTP://WWW.DNR.SC.GOV/CLIMATE
/SCO
NWS COLUMBIA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CAE/DROUGHT.PHP
ADDITIONAL RIVER AND LAKE INFORMATION:
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS
USACE...HTTP:/WATER.SAS.USACE.ARMY.MIL/HOME
USGS...HTTP://WWW.USGS.GOV
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING
NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA
CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT
HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE
COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICE...THE USDA...USACE AND THE USGS.
QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT STATEMENT
PLEASE CONTACT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2909 AVIATION WAY
WEST COLUMBIA SC 29170
PHONE: 803-822-8135
INTERNET ADDRESS W-CAE.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV
$$
