Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
000 FXUS63 KLBF 250948 AFDLBF AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 348 AM CST WED NOV 25 2009 .SYNOPSIS... A CLIPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MIDWEST TODAY WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TO BRING A LITTLE RAIN OR SNOW EARLY THEN CLEARING. && .DISCUSSION... FORECAST CHALLENGE IS TEMPERATURES IN THE NEAR TERM. THROUGH 96 HOURS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THEN DIVERGE AS A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN DEVELOPS BEYOND. IN THE NEAR TERM...TODAY THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST EARLY THIS MORNING WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TO USHER IN COLDER AIR FOR TODAY. AT 09Z THE COLD FRONT WAS PUSHING SOUTH WITH A RAIN SNOW MIXTURE FALLING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 2. TIF...LBF AND OGA WERE ALL REPORTING RAIN WHILE OFFICE VIEW INDICATES SOME SNOW IS ALSO FALLING. THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTH EARLY WITH THE PRECIPITATION TO END FROM THE NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH 15Z. TODAY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL ALSO APPROACH WIND ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL WITH THE NAM SOLUTION A LITTLE MORE ROBUST...WHERE CUSTER COUNTY MAY HIT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS...THAT WILL BE MONITORED FOR LATER UPDATES. BEYOND THIS MORNING CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR FOR MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS INTO THE AFTERNOON. FOR THE HOLIDAY PERIOD LITTLE IMPACTS WILL BE SEEN AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS EAST TO THE PLAINS. WARMER AIR WILL BE DRAWN EAST AS THE RIDGE BUILDS EAST TO BRING A WARMUP TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL READINGS BY FRIDAY. ON FRIDAY TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE INTO THE 60S AS H85 TEMPS REACH AOB 12 DEG C. FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY THE H85 THERMAL RIDGE MOVES EAST WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DEVELOPING EAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM AS THE GULF REMAINS CLOSED OFF FOR A GENERALLY DRY FORECAST THROUGH DAY 5. THE MODEL SPREAD INCREASES DURING THIS TIME WITH FEW CHANGES MADE FOR THE PERIOD. && .AVIATION... A FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTERLY FROM EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY AND THIS EVENING. SOME SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDINESS IS POSSIBLE AT THE KLBF TERMINAL THROUGH 15Z THIS MORNING...WITH CLEAR SKIES THEREAFTER. FOR THE KVTN TERMINAL...CLEAR SKIES AND UNLIMITED VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA TODAY AS THE CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES EAST. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS RANGING FROM 20 TO 30 KTS WITH SOME GUSTS APPROACHING 35 KTS ARE LIKELY TODAY AT BOTH THE KLBF AND KVTN TERMINALS. WIND SPEEDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL PEAK AT THE KVTN TERMINAL DURING THE 18Z TO 21Z TIME FRAME AND 19Z TO 23Z TIME FRAME AT KLBF. WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY TOWARD SUNSET WITH LIGHT WESTERLIES FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM/EXTENDED...KECK AVIATION...CLB