BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE
37.03N 104.23W ELEV. 7070 FT
1004 PM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

DATE           04/15/14      WED 04/16/14            THU 04/17/14            FRI
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      37          57          30          52          33
TEMP                   43 39 38 51 56 56 49 37 31 30 30 35 45 49 51 38 38 34 35
DEWPT                  12 14 14 17 19 24 27 31 29 28 27 27 28 27 29 29 29 28 27
MAX/MIN RH                   38          23          94          39          80
RH                     28 35 37 26 23 29 42 79 92 92 88 72 51 42 42 70 70 78 72
WIND DIR                W SW SW  W  E  E  E  E NE  N  N  N SE  E SE  S SW SW SW
WIND SPD               14 12 11 10  8 12 14 10 12 16 10  2  4  5 11 17 23 24 23
CLOUDS                 SC SC SC B1 B1 B2 OV OV B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR                      5          50          80          60          10
RAIN                                   S  D
RAIN SHWRS                                                 IS
SNOW                                         D  D  D  L  S
LAL                     1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1
HAINES                  5  4  3  3  3  4  3  3  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  3  3  4  3
10K WIND DIR            W  W  W  W  W SW  W  W  W  W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  W  W
10K WIND SPD           43 34 33 33 34 36 39 37 40 34 40 42 41 46 41 40 32 28 21
MIX HGT                 1  2  2  2  5  6  3  2  2  2  2  3  4  4  5  1 <1 <1 <1
T WIND DIR              W  W  W  W SW SW SE  E NE NE NE NE NW  W SW  S  S SW SW
T WIND SPD             18 18 17 12  9 13 10 10 17 16 12  6  5 10 17 12 23 27 24
SMOKE DISP             PR PR PR PR FR GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD PR PR PR PR
CRTCL FWX POT           P  U  U  P  U  P  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U


DATE           04/18/14  SAT 04/19/14  SUN 04/20/14  MON 04/21/14  TUE 04/22/14
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          66      41    63      42    64      38    74      42    71
TEMP          64 65 47   42 60 61 47   42 61 60 44   39 69 70 49   43 67 68
DEWPT         35 27 32   34 33 35 38   36 37 33 36   35 30 24 29   28 29 27
PWIND DIR        SW      SW     W      NW    NE      SW    SW      SW    SW
WIND CHAR       15>     15>   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   15>
AVG CLOUDS    SC SC B1   B1 B1 B1 B1   B1 B1 B1 B1   B1 B1 SC SC   SC SC SC
POP 12HR          5      10    30      20    20      10    10       5     5
RAIN SHWRS          IS   IS SC SC IS   IS IS IS

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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