BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE
37.03N 104.23W ELEV. 7070 FT
529 PM MDT MON OCT 20 2014

DATE           10/20/14      TUE 10/21/14            WED 10/22/14            THU
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      46          67          47          68          41
TEMP             62 54 50 47 47 54 64 67 61 53 49 48 47 54 64 68 62 52 48 43 42
DEWPT            39 41 42 42 41 42 40 37 39 42 44 43 43 41 40 40 40 40 41 38 37
MAX/MIN RH                   85          33          87          36          84
RH               43 61 74 83 79 64 41 33 44 66 83 83 86 61 41 36 44 63 77 82 82
WIND DIR         SE  S SW SW SW SW SW  S  S SW SW SW  W  W NW  E SE SW SW  W  W
WIND SPD         12 11 13 11 11 13 14 17 19 23 20 17 12  8  3  4  5 10 11 10  6
WIND GUST                          26 27    34 32
CLOUDS           SC SC FW SC SC SC B1 SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC FW FW
POP 12HR                     10          10          10          20          10
RAIN SHWRS                               IS IS IS IS IS IS IS IS IS IS
TSTMS                                    IS IS             IS IS IS
LAL               1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  2  2  1  1  1  1  2  2  2
HAINES            2  2  2  3  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  3  2  2  2  3  2  2  2  2  2
15K WIND DIR     SW SE SE  S  S  S  S  S SW SW SW  W SW SW  W  W  W NW NW NW NW
15K WIND SPD      5  3  9 14 16 13 13 13  6  6  5  8 16 18 14 17 16 19 14 10 12
MIX HGT           8  2  2  1  1  3  7  9  5  2  2  1  1  5  8 10  7  3  1  1  2
T WIND DIR        S  S SW SW SW SW  S  S  S SW SW SW  W NW  W  W NW SW SW SW  W
T WIND SPD        9 13 16 14 13 20 18 18 18 29 24 18 13  8 10 10  3 10 12 10  6
SMOKE DISP       GD PR PR PR PR FR VG VG GD FR PR PR PR PR GD GD PR PR PR PR PR
CRTCL FWX POT     P  U  U  U  U  U  U  P  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U


DATE           10/23/14  FRI 10/24/14  SAT 10/25/14  SUN 10/26/14  MON 10/27/14
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          70      46    77      46    77      47    71      40    60
TEMP          64 64 53   49 73 69 55   49 73 70 53   48 68 66 51   40 52 53
DEWPT         35 33 35   33 29 29 28   26 33 29 31   34 34 28 27   29 26 28
PWIND DIR         N      SW    SW      SW    SW      SW     W       W    NW
WIND CHAR       <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   15>     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    FW FW FW   CL CL FW FW   FW FW FW FW   FW FW SC FW   FW FW FW
POP 12HR          0       0     0       5     5       5     5       5     5

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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