BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE
37.03N 104.23W ELEV. 7070 FT
905 AM MST MON DEC 22 2014

DATE                MON 12/22/14            TUE 12/23/14            WED 12/24/14
MST 3HRLY     02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
UTC 3HRLY     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

MAX/MIN                      41          16          27           8          43
TEMP                   39 40 32 26 20 17 16 17 25 27 20 14 13 10  8 13 36 42 39
DEWPT                  25 23 22 21 19 16 14 12 11 10  9  8  6  3  1  7  7 13 15
MIN/MAX RH                   48          94          49          78          29
RH                     57 50 66 81 96 96 92 80 55 48 62 76 73 73 72 76 29 30 37
WIND DIR                N NW NE NE NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N NW NW NW  W NW  W  W
WIND SPD               11 11  8 10 13 14 16 21 32 25 19 17 11 10  9  8  5  4  9
WIND GUST                                   32 47 39 29
CLOUDS                 OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
POP 12HR                     60          60          20           5           0
RAIN SHWRS             NM SC
SNOW                          L  C  C  C  S  S
SNOWSHWRS
LAL                     1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1
HAINES                  2  2  3  3  3  3  3  2  2  2  2  2  3  4  4  4  2  2  4
15K WIND DIR           NW NW NW NW NW NW  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
15K WIND SPD           44 47 42 29 21 28 39 46 48 47 40 36 48 59 64
MIX HGT                 8 10  4  1  1  2  1  1  5  5  2  2  2  2  1
T WIND DIR             NW NW NW  N NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N NW
T WIND SPD             40 39 18  9 11 18 20 25 43 41 24 23 16 14 10
SMOKE DISP             EX EX FR PR PR PR PR PR EX EX FR PR PR PR PR
CRTCL FWX POT           U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U


DATE               THU 12/25/14  FRI 12/26/14  SAT 12/27/14  SUN 12/28/14
MST 6HRLY     23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17
UTC 6HRLY     06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MIN/MAX            27    48      19    32      13    37      18    42
TEMP          30   29 39 34 22   19 25 22 14   13 27 25 22   19 40 34
DEWPT         14   14 21 17 16   14 14 12  8    7 11 12  8    7 16 13
PWIND DIR           W     W       W     N      NW     W      SW     W
WIND CHAR         <15   15>     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    FW   SC SC SC SC   B1 B1 SC SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC
POP 12HR            0     5      10    10      10    10       5     5
SNOW                         S

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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