BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE
37.03N 104.23W ELEV. 7070 FT
243 PM MDT SAT AUG 30 2014

DATE           08/30/14      SUN 08/31/14            MON 09/01/14            TUE
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      58          87          52          85          51
TEMP          84 82 67 63 61 59 75 86 86 85 66 63 57 52 65 80 83 83 64 58 54 52
DEWPT         43 40 42 41 41 40 39 35 32 32 34 35 38 40 39 38 37 36 38 39 41 42
MAX/MIN RH                   51          14          64          18          71
RH            24 22 40 44 48 49 27 16 14 15 30 35 49 63 38 22 19 19 38 49 61 69
WIND DIR      SW SW SW  W  W  W  W SW  W  W  W  W  W SW SW  S  S SW SW  W NW NW
WIND SPD       5 10 10 11 13 12 12 17 19 18 11  8  5  3  4  5  9 10 11 11 11 10
CLOUDS        SC SC SC SC SC FW SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC
POP 12HR                     10           5           5           5           5
RAIN SHWRS       IS
TSTMS            IS
LAL            1  2  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1
HAINES         4  3  4  3  4  4  4  3  3  3  4  3  2  2  2  3  3  3  3  3  2  2
15K WIND DIR  SW  W  W  W  W  W SW  W  W  W  W NW  W  W  W  W SW SW
15K WIND SPD  13 16 20 34 25 20 21 27 31 36 34 34 35 31 29 31 19 17
MIX HGT       15 13  3  2  2  2  7 14 13 12  9  6  3  2  5  7 10 12
T WIND DIR     W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W NW  N  W  W  W  W
T WIND SPD    12 17 13 13 16 16 23 25 28 34 25 20  6  3  3 20 14 13
SMOKE DISP    EX EX PR PR PR PR EX EX EX EX EX EX FR PR FR GD VG VG
CRTCL FWX POT  U  U  P  U  U  U  P  P  P  P  P  U  U  U  U  U  U  P  P  U  U  U


DATE           09/02/14  WED 09/03/14  THU 09/04/14  FRI 09/05/14  SAT 09/06/14
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          83      57    87      57    84      57    82      56    79
TEMP          79 79 62   58 86 83 64   59 83 78 63   58 81 79 62   56 78 74
DEWPT         41 43 46   46 41 42 44   48 43 48 50   49 48 47 54   52 50 54
PWIND DIR         E      SW    SW      SW    SW      SW     S      SW     E
WIND CHAR       <15     <15   <15     15>   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC FW FW   FW FW SC SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC SC   SC B1 B2
POP 12HR          5       5     5       5    10      10    20      20    20
RAIN SHWRS                                   IS         IS IS IS   IS IS IS
TSTMS                                        IS         IS IS IS   IS IS IS

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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