BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE
37.03N 104.23W ELEV. 7070 FT
1205 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2014

DATE           09/19/14      SAT 09/20/14            SUN 09/21/14            MON
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      53          78          54          75          54
TEMP          81 76 62 58 55 54 64 75 78 74 62 57 56 54 63 73 75 70 60 56 55 54
DEWPT         51 52 53 53 51 51 51 50 50 49 51 53 52 50 50 50 50 49 51 53 52 52
MAX/MIN RH                   93          37          90          42          94
RH            35 43 72 83 86 90 63 41 37 41 67 86 86 86 62 44 41 47 72 90 90 93
WIND DIR       S  S SW SW  W NW  N NE NE  E SE  S SW SW MM  E MM SE MM  S MM  S
WIND SPD       6 10 14 10  8  8  8 12 12 11  5  9  6  3 MM 10 MM 13 MM  8 MM 10
CLOUDS        B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1
POP 12HR                     10          20          30          30          30
RAIN SHWRS          IS                IS SC SC IS IS IS IS SC SC SC SC IS IS IS
TSTMS               IS                IS SC SC IS IS IS IS SC SC SC SC IS IS IS
LAL            1  1  2  1  1  1  1  1  2  4  4  3  3  3
HAINES         2  2  4  4  4  3  3  3  2  2  2  2  3  3  3  2  2  2  2  2  2  2
15K WIND DIR   N  N  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  E  E  E  E SE  S SW  E SE  S SW
15K WIND SPD  10 16 19 21 24 27 28 23 19 16 13 13 12  9  9  6  3  3  5  8 14 16
MIX HGT        9  8  2  1  1 <1  3  8 10  9  3  2  2  1  5  8  9  9  5  3  3  3
T WIND DIR    SW  W SW  W NW  N  N NE NE NE  E SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  S SW
T WIND SPD     4  3 13  9  8 10 17 17 12  9 10  6  5  4 11  8  6  9 18 20 16 19
SMOKE DISP    PR PR PR PR PR PR FR VG GD GD PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD FR PR FR
CRTCL FWX POT  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  P  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U


DATE           09/22/14  TUE 09/23/14  WED 09/24/14  THU 09/25/14  FRI 09/26/14
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          76      52    78      52    77      52    76      51    76
TEMP          69 71 57   53 76 76 58   53 76 74 58   53 74 71 54   51 74 73
DEWPT         53 52 53   50 49 49 52   50 49 49 51   49 48 49 50   48 49 48
PWIND DIR         S      SW     W      SW     N       S    SW      SW    SW
WIND CHAR       <15     15>   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     15>   <15
AVG CLOUDS    B1 B1 SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC FW   FW FW FW FW   FW FW FW
POP 12HR         30      20    20      10    10      10     5       5    10
RAIN SHWRS    IS SC IS         IS            IS IS
TSTMS         IS SC IS         IS            IS IS

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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