BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

BEAR COMPLEX WILDFIRE
37.03N 104.23W ELEV. 7070 FT
900 PM MST THU JAN 29 2015

DATE          THU 01/29/15      FRI 01/30/15            SAT 01/31/15         SUN
MST 3HRLY     14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      28          38          26          35          21
TEMP                   33 30 30 29 37 37 34 29 30 27 27 27 32 35 29 29 28 26 24
DEWPT                  25 24 23 25 27 28 28 27 26 25 25 25 27 27 27 26 24 23 22
MAX/MIN RH                   87          66          96          74         100
RH                     72 78 75 85 67 70 78 92 85 92 92 92 81 72 92 88 85 88 92
WIND DIR                S  S SW SW SW SW SW SW  W  W NW  N  N NE NE NE SW  W  N
WIND SPD               12 16 17 18 21 21 19 14 10 12  8 11  9  6  8  4  2  4  8
CLOUDS                 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B2 B1 SC
POP 12HR                     20          60          60          40          40
RAIN                                C  C
SNOW                    S  S  S  C  C     L  L  L  L  C  C  C  C  C  C  C  C  S
LAL                     1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1
HAINES                  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  3  3  3  3  2  2
15K WIND DIR           SW SW  W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  W NW NW  N NW NW
15K WIND SPD           14 19 21 17 19 21 16 16 21 25 29 32 19 14 19 25 21 19 27
MIX HGT                 2  1  1  1  2  2  1 <1  1 <1 <1  2  2  3  2  2  1  1  1
T WIND DIR              S  S SW  S SW SW SW  W  W NW  N  N  N  N NE NE SW  W  N
T WIND SPD             19 21 23 26 29 26 20 14  9  9  9 13 10  6  6  5  4  6 11
SMOKE DISP             PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
CRTCL FWX POT           U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U


DATE           02/01/15  MON 02/02/15  TUE 02/03/15  WED 02/04/15  THU 02/05/15
MST 6HRLY     11 17 23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          34      22    49      29    50      26    43      26    48
TEMP          33 32 26   25 45 45 37   30 44 44 34   26 37 36 28   27 43 42
DEWPT         22 23 21   21 28 28 24   22 27 28 23   21 26 26 22   21 26 27
PWIND DIR         N       S     W       W     W       W    SW      SW     W
WIND CHAR       <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC SC SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC
POP 12HR         10       5     0       5     5       5     5       5     5
SNOW           S

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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