FORT LYON WILDFIRE EAST SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

FORT LYON WILDFIRE EAST
38.05N 102.92W ELEV. 3860 FT
907 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

DATE           08/22/14      SAT 08/23/14            SUN 08/24/14            MON
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      61          92          61          89          60
TEMP                   68 65 61 73 86 91 90 78 71 64 61 71 82 89 86 75 68 64 60
DEWPT                  59 59 57 55 53 49 47 50 53 53 53 51 48 49 49 53 56 55 53
MAX/MIN RH                   89          22          76          25          81
RH                     73 81 87 53 32 24 23 37 53 67 75 49 31 25 28 46 65 73 78
WIND DIR               SW SW SW  W  W SW SW  S SW NW  N  N  E SE SE SE SE  S SW
WIND SPD                5  6  8 10  9 10 10  9 12 11  8  5  5  6 11 11 11  8  9
CLOUDS                 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC
POP 12HR                     30          10          10          10          10
RAIN SHWRS             IS                                        IS IS
TSTMS                  IS                                        IS IS
LAL                     2  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  2
HAINES                  2  2  2  3  2  3  3  4  3  3  2  2  2  3  3  3  4  3  3
15K WIND DIR            S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  W SW
15K WIND SPD           55 32 32 26 21 24 23 18 20 26 27 28 29 33 27
MIX HGT                 1  1 <1  3 10 12 12  1 <1 <1 <1  2  8 11 11
T WIND DIR              W SW  W  W SW SW SW  S  W NW  N NE SW SW  S
T WIND SPD              9 10 13 13 18 17 17 10 16 14  9  8 13 17 16
SMOKE DISP             PR PR PR PR EX EX EX PR PR PR PR PR GD EX EX
CRTCL FWX POT           U  U  U  U  P  P  P  P  U  U  U  U  U  U  P  U  U  U  U


DATE           08/25/14  TUE 08/26/14  WED 08/27/14  THU 08/28/14  FRI 08/29/14
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          92      63    89      62    82      60    86      62    88
TEMP          87 90 72   63 85 87 71   62 79 80 67   60 82 84 70   62 84 86
DEWPT         52 51 56   55 55 54 59   58 56 54 55   55 55 50 55   55 53 49
PWIND DIR         S       S    NW      NE    NE      SE     S       S     S
WIND CHAR       <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC SC SC   SC SC B1 B1   SC SC SC SC   FW FW FW FW   FW FW FW
POP 12HR         20      20    30      20    20      10    10      10     5
RAIN SHWRS       IS IS   IS    SC IS   IS IS IS IS   IS IS IS
TSTMS            IS IS   IS    SC IS   IS IS IS IS   IS IS IS

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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