FORT LYON WILDFIRE EAST SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

FORT LYON WILDFIRE EAST
38.05N 102.92W ELEV. 3860 FT
1144 AM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

DATE                TUE 03/03/15            WED 03/04/15            THU 03/05/15
MST 3HRLY     02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
UTC 3HRLY     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

MAX/MIN                      45          14          22           5          40
TEMP                      37 34 26 22 19 14 18 20 22 21 11  9  6  5  8 33 39 35
DEWPT                     25 23 22 20 17 14 13 11 11 11  9  6  5  3  6 16 20 21
MIN/MAX RH                   46         100          59         100          44
RH                        61 64 85 92 92100 80 67 62 65 91 87 96 91 91 49 46 56
WIND DIR                  NE  E  E  E  E  E NE NE NE NE  S SW SW  W  W SW SW  S
WIND SPD                  13 12 11 13 16 17 16 13 11 10  4  5  6  9  6  5  5  6
WIND GUST                 25 24 23 26 27 28 27 25 23
CLOUDS                    B2 B2 OV OV OV OV B2 B2 B1 B1 FW FW FW FW FW FW FW CL
POP 12HR                     10          60          60           5           0
SNOW                          S  C  C  L  L  L  S  S
LAL                        1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1
HAINES                     2  2  3  3  3  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  3  2  3  4  4  4
15K WIND DIR               W  W  W SW SW SW SW  W  W NW
15K WIND SPD              70 64 52 51 48 44 40 35 37 37
MIX HGT                    3  3  1  3  2  3  3  5  6  4
T WIND DIR                 N SE  E SE  E  E NE NW NW NW
T WIND SPD                 4  8 10 14 18 17 16  5 11 14
SMOKE DISP                PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR FR FR
CRTCL FWX POT              U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U


DATE               FRI 03/06/15  SAT 03/07/15  SUN 03/08/15  MON 03/09/15
MST 6HRLY     23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17
UTC 6HRLY     06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MIN/MAX            13    50      19    51      23    56      25    60
TEMP          19   13 42 45 26   19 45 46 29   23 49 51 32   25 53 54
DEWPT         14   11 23 24 20   16 27 28 25   21 30 27 25   21 28 28
PWIND DIR          SW     W      NW     N       S    NW       W    SW
WIND CHAR         <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    CL   CL CL CL FW   FW FW FW FW   FW FW FW FW   FW FW FW
POP 12HR            0     0       0     5       5     5       5     5

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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