FORT LYON WILDFIRE EAST SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

FORT LYON WILDFIRE EAST
38.05N 102.92W ELEV. 3860 FT
729 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

DATE           07/27/14      MON 07/28/14            TUE 07/29/14            WED
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      64          84          63          84          62
TEMP                77 71 67 64 72 77 84 80 72 67 67 63 72 79 84 80 71 66 65 62
DEWPT               59 60 59 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 61 61 61 61 62 63 62 62
MAX/MIN RH                   88          45          90          46         100
RH                  54 68 75 87 66 56 44 51 66 78 78 90 68 54 46 52 73 90 90100
WIND DIR            SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  S SE  S SE SE SW  S SE SE  E NE NE  N
WIND SPD             8  8  6  6 10 14 13 13 10 10  5  3  9  6  9 14 17 16 11 11
CLOUDS              B1 B2 B1 B2 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV
POP 12HR                     20          30          30          60          70
RAIN SHWRS          IS IS    IS IS IS SC SC SC IS IS SC SC NM NM NM NM NM NM SC
TSTMS               IS IS    IS IS IS SC SC SC IS IS SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
LAL                  3  3  1  2  2  3  4  4  4  3  3  4  4  4  4  4
HAINES               2  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  2  2  2  2
15K WIND DIR         E SW SW  W NW NW SW  W  W NW NW  W  W  W  W  W  S  W  W  N
15K WIND SPD         2  3  9 12 14  6 13 17 16 13 16 14 13 12 16 13  3 21 25  2
MIX HGT              6  4  1  1  4  7  9  9  4 <1  1 <1  2  8 10  9  3  3  3  3
T WIND DIR          SE  S SE SE  S  S SW  S  S  S  S  S  W  W SW SE SE  E NE NE
T WIND SPD           8 12 13 12 13  9 14 10 17 14 11  9  8  6  6  8 23 16 11 23
SMOKE DISP          FR FR PR PR FR FR VG GD GD PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR PR GD
CRTCL FWX POT        U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
FLASH FLOOD          A


DATE           07/30/14  THU 07/31/14  FRI 08/01/14  SAT 08/02/14  SUN 08/03/14
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          77      61    80      61    83      62    84      63    86
TEMP          74 75 66   61 69 75 66   61 77 79 67   62 78 80 68   63 82 84
DEWPT         63 61 62   59 58 56 58   57 57 56 58   56 56 55 59   57 56 55
PWIND DIR        NE       E     E      SE    SE      SE    SE      SE    SE
WIND CHAR       <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    B2 B2 B2   B2 B1 SC B1   SC SC SC B1   SC SC SC SC   SC FW FW
POP 12HR         40      30    20      10    10      10    10      10     5
RAIN SHWRS    SC SC SC   SC IS IS IS      IS IS IS   IS IS IS IS
TSTMS         SC SC SC   SC IS IS IS      IS IS IS   IS IS IS IS

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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