FORT LYON WILDFIRE EAST SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

FORT LYON WILDFIRE EAST
38.05N 102.92W ELEV. 3860 FT
1148 PM MDT THU SEP 18 2014

DATE           09/18/14      FRI 09/19/14            SAT 09/20/14            SUN
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      57          88          59          84          56
TEMP                   64 60 58 71 84 88 82 72 67 62 59 68 80 84 80 69 64 60 56
DEWPT                  55 56 58 58 57 56 57 59 60 59 58 57 56 55 55 56 56 55 56
MAX/MIN RH                  100          34          98          37         100
RH                     73 87100 63 40 34 43 64 78 90 96 68 44 37 42 63 75 84100
WIND DIR                S SW  S  S  S  S  S  S  S  S SE NW NE  E  E SE  E  E NE
WIND SPD                5  6  6 11 17 18 17 14 12  6  4  2  6 11 12  5  1  2  3
CLOUDS                 SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR                      0          10          30          10          10
RAIN SHWRS                                     SC SC IS IS IS IS IS IS IS IS IS
TSTMS                                          SC SC IS IS IS IS IS IS IS IS IS
LAL                     1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  4  4  2  2  2  2
HAINES                  4  3  3  2  2  2  2  3  2  2  3  4  3  3  3  2  2  2  3
15K WIND DIR           SE  S  S  S SW  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
15K WIND SPD            9 10 10  8  5  3  3  8 12 18 25 20 18 18 16 16 13  9  9
MIX HGT                 1 <1 <1  2  7  9  7  3  2  2 <1  2  5 10  8  3  1 <1 <1
T WIND DIR              S SW SW  S  S  S  S  S SW  S  S  N NE  N NE  E  S SE NE
T WIND SPD             16 12 10 16 13 11 12 23 23 16  6  4 13 10  9 10  5  2  4
SMOKE DISP             PR PR PR PR GD GD GD FR FR PR PR PR FR GD GD PR PR PR PR
CRTCL FWX POT           U  U  U  U  P  P  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  P  U  U  U  U  U


DATE           09/21/14  MON 09/22/14  TUE 09/23/14  WED 09/24/14  THU 09/25/14
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          80      56    79      57    80      56    80      58    81
TEMP          75 75 61   56 75 75 61   57 76 75 61   56 76 76 62   58 77 76
DEWPT         55 55 56   56 55 53 56   54 55 52 57   54 57 52 53   51 53 51
PWIND DIR         E      SE    SE      SE     S      SE    SE       S     S
WIND CHAR       <15     <15   15>     15>   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC SC B1   B1 SC SC B1   B1 SC SC SC   SC SC FW FW   FW FW FW
POP 12HR         20      20    20      20    10      20     5       5     5
RAIN SHWRS    IS IS IS   IS IS IS IS   IS    IS IS   IS
TSTMS         IS IS IS   IS IS IS IS   IS    IS IS   IS

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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