FORT LYON WILDFIRE WEST SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

FORT LYON WILDFIRE WEST
38.08N 103.03W ELEV. 3860 FT
952 AM MDT WED APR 23 2014

DATE             WED 04/23/14            THU 04/24/14            FRI 04/25/14
MDT 3HRLY     03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
UTC 3HRLY     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

MAX/MIN                      83          39          73          41          82
TEMP                   80 83 79 60 51 45 39 51 63 70 72 60 54 45 42 58 73 79 81
DEWPT                  30 28 26 32 31 26 25 20 19 16 19 22 24 25 25 27 24 22 21
MIN/MAX RH                   13          56          12          52          11
RH                     16 13 14 35 46 47 57 29 18 12 13 23 31 45 50 30 16 12 11
WIND DIR               SW  W  W  N  N NW NW NW  W SW  S SE  S SW  W  N  E SE SE
WIND SPD               21 20 18 27 17 10  9  9  5  9 11 14 12  9  8  4  5 10 17
WIND GUST                       40
CLOUDS                 SC B1 B1 B1 SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
POP 12HR                     20          20           0           0           0
RAIN SHWRS                   IS IS IS
TSTMS                        IS IS IS
LAL                     1  1  3  3  2  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1
HAINES                  3  5  5  3  2  2  2  3  2  3  3  4  6  5  5  5  5  4  5
10K WIND DIR           SW SW SW  W  W  W NW NW NW  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W SW SW
10K WIND SPD           43 24 23 32 31 31 35 41 40 42 42 37 25 32 29 21 24 27 34
MIX HGT                12 15 15  9  4  1 <1  5  8  7  7 <1 <1 <1 <1  1 10 12 12
T WIND DIR             SW SW SW NW  N NW  N NW NW  W  W SE  S  W  W  N SW SW SW
T WIND SPD             32 29 27 20 26 12 14 25 25 21 18 13  8  9  6  3 12 17 17
SMOKE DISP             EX EX EX EX VG PR PR VG EX VG VG PR PR PR PR PR VG EX EX
CRTCL FWX POT           P  L  L  P  U  U  U  P  U  P  P  P  P  U  U  U  U  P  P
RED FLAG                W  W  W


DATE               SAT 04/26/14  SUN 04/27/14  MON 04/28/14  TUE 04/29/14
MDT 6HRLY     00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MIN/MAX            46    81      47    68      42    63      39    63
TEMP          57   46 78 79 57   47 65 65 48   42 58 60 44   39 55 57
DEWPT         29   30 26 25 27   27 22 24 32   32 28 26 27   27 25 24
PWIND DIR           S     S      SW     W      NW     N       N     N
WIND CHAR         <15   15>     15>   15>     15>   15>     15>   15>
AVG CLOUDS    FW   FW SC SC SC   SC B1 B1 B1   B1 B1 B1 SC   SC B1 SC
POP 12HR            0     0      10    20      30    10       5     5
RAIN                              S     S  C    S  S  S

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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