FORT LYON WILDFIRE WEST SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

FORT LYON WILDFIRE WEST
38.08N 103.03W ELEV. 3860 FT
719 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

DATE           09/16/14      WED 09/17/14            THU 09/18/14            FRI
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      54          93          55          90          59
TEMP                72 65 59 54 68 86 93 87 71 63 58 55 66 81 89 85 72 65 61 59
DEWPT               50 50 51 50 50 48 45 42 48 52 51 51 52 49 45 50 52 57 57 57
MAX/MIN RH                   88          19          86          22          93
RH                  46 58 75 86 52 27 19 21 44 67 77 86 61 33 22 30 49 75 87 93
WIND DIR            SE  S  W  W  W SW  S SE  S  S SW SW SW  S  S  S  S  S  S  S
WIND SPD             5  4  3  4  5  4  5  8  8  5  4  4  5 13 16 17 11  9  6 13
CLOUDS              FW FW FW SC FW SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC
POP 12HR                      5           5           5           0          10
LAL                  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1
HAINES               4  3  4  4  4  3  5  5  5  5  6  6  4  5  4  4  4  3  3  2
15K WIND DIR         N  N  N  N NW NW NW NW NW  N NE  E  E SE  S  S
15K WIND SPD        19 18 14 11 10 10 10  9 11  9  8  8  6  9 11 11
MIX HGT             <1 <1 <1 <1 <1  9 15 11 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 11 12 10
T WIND DIR           S SW  W  W  W  W  W  W  S SW SW  W SW  S  S  S
T WIND SPD          12  9  5  4  5  8  8  5 13 11 11  8  5  6 10 14
SMOKE DISP          PR PR PR PR PR FR VG FR PR PR PR PR PR GD VG VG
CRTCL FWX POT        U  U  U  U  U  U  U  P  U  U  U  U  U  P  P  P  U  U  U  U


DATE           09/19/14  SAT 09/20/14  SUN 09/21/14  MON 09/22/14  TUE 09/23/14
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          87      58    81      54    80      54    80      55    78
TEMP          80 83 64   58 75 77 59   54 73 76 59   54 73 76 60   55 72 75
DEWPT         56 58 58   57 54 52 51   50 49 47 49   49 49 48 54   50 50 46
PWIND DIR         S      SW     N      NE     E      SE    SE      SE    SE
WIND CHAR       15>     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC B1 SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC FW SC   SC SC B1 B1   B1 B1 SC
POP 12HR         20      30    10       5     5       5    10      10    10
RAIN SHWRS       IS SC   IS                                   IS   IS    IS
TSTMS            IS SC   IS                                   IS   IS    IS

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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