FORT LYON WILDFIRE WEST SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

FORT LYON WILDFIRE WEST
38.08N 103.03W ELEV. 3860 FT
603 PM MDT FRI APR 18 2014

DATE           04/18/14      SAT 04/19/14            SUN 04/20/14            MON
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      47          79          47          73          46
TEMP             78 64 57 52 47 59 73 79 75 60 55 50 47 57 67 73 68 62 54 50 46
DEWPT            29 38 39 40 38 42 36 39 40 43 45 45 46 46 46 45 43 44 44 43 43
MAX/MIN RH                   72          24          95          36          88
RH               16 38 51 63 71 53 26 24 28 53 69 83 96 67 47 37 40 52 69 77 89
WIND DIR          S  S  S SW SW SW SW SW NE NE  N NW NW NW  N NW  N NE NW NW  N
WIND SPD         16 17 14 11  9 12  6  1 12 10  8  8  8  8  8  6  8  8  6  6  8
CLOUDS           FW SC SC B1 B1 B2 B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC
POP 12HR                      5          40          40          20          20
RAIN SHWRS                         IS IS SC SC IS IS IS IS IS IS IS IS
TSTMS                              IS IS SC SC             IS IS IS
LAL               1  1  1  1  1  1  3  3  4  4  1  1  1  1  3  3  3  1  1  1  1
HAINES            4  4  5  5  4  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3
10K WIND DIR     SW SW SW SW  S  S  S SW SW  W  W  W NW  W  W  W NW NW NW  N  N
10K WIND SPD     23 20 17 19 19 31 36 17 14 18 18 18 16 10 13 14 10 16 18 14 14
MIX HGT          11 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1  9 12 10  3  1 <1 <1  3  8 11 10  1 <1 <1 <1
T WIND DIR       SW  S  S SW SW  W SW SW NW  N  N  N NW NW  W  W NW NE NE NW  N
T WIND SPD       16 23 20 17 14 12 19 13  4 17 13 10 10 10  8  9  9 12  5  5 13
SMOKE DISP       VG PR PR PR PR PR EX VG PR FR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD PR PR PR PR
CRTCL FWX POT     P  P  U  U  U  U  U  U  P  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U


DATE           04/21/14  TUE 04/22/14  WED 04/23/14  THU 04/24/14  FRI 04/25/14
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          72      48    81      56    82      46    70      42    73
TEMP          65 70 53   48 71 78 62   57 80 81 59   46 63 67 50   42 65 72
DEWPT         38 35 39   39 39 33 37   38 25 20 22   25 18 20 26   28 21 21
PWIND DIR        NE      SE     S       S    SW      NW    NW      NE     N
WIND CHAR       <15     <15   15>     15>   15>     15>   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC SC SC   SC SC SC SC   SC FW FW FW   FW SC SC SC   FW SC SC
POP 12HR          5       5    10      10     5       5     5       5     5

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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