FORT LYON WILDFIRE WEST SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

FORT LYON WILDFIRE WEST
38.08N 103.03W ELEV. 3860 FT
704 AM MDT SAT AUG 30 2014

DATE             SAT 08/30/14            SUN 08/31/14            MON 09/01/14
MDT 3HRLY     03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
UTC 3HRLY     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

MAX/MIN                      92          59          96          56          89
TEMP                71 86 92 87 75 69 64 59 74 92 96 93 73 66 61 56 67 83 89 86
DEWPT               52 49 48 46 52 51 51 50 49 41 40 41 48 50 50 49 49 48 48 48
MIN/MAX RH                   22          72          14          77          24
RH                  51 28 22 24 45 53 63 72 41 17 14 16 41 56 67 77 52 30 24 27
WIND DIR            SW  S  S  S SE  S  S SW  W  W  W  W  N  N  N  N NE  E  E SE
WIND SPD             4  4  8  9  8  8  4  5 11 13 18 12  8  6  8  8  5  5 10 14
CLOUDS              SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
POP 12HR                     10          10          10          10           5
RAIN SHWRS                                     IS    IS IS
SPRINKLES                                         IS
TSTMS                                          IS IS IS IS
LAL                  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  2  2  2
HAINES               3  3  3  4  5  5  5  5  5  5  5  6  5  3  3  2  2  2  2  3
15K WIND DIR        SW SW  W  W  W  W  W  W SW SW  W  W
15K WIND SPD         4 11 16 17 23 26 23 21 23 31 28 23
MIX HGT              2 11 13 11 <1 <1 <1 <1  1 14 16 16
T WIND DIR          SW SW SW SW SE  S  S SW  W  W  W  W
T WIND SPD          10  9 10 10  8  9  5  8 11 26 28 26
SMOKE DISP          PR GD VG GD PR PR PR PR PR EX EX EX
CRTCL FWX POT        U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  P  L  P  U  U  U  U  U  U  P  P


DATE               TUE 09/02/14  WED 09/03/14  THU 09/04/14  FRI 09/05/14
MDT 6HRLY     00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MIN/MAX            59    89      64    96      66    94      64    90
TEMP          70   59 83 85 71   64 90 91 75   66 89 89 72   64 85 86
DEWPT         50   54 54 50 55   54 47 43 48   50 47 47 56   55 54 50
PWIND DIR          NE     E      SE    SW       S     W       S    NE
WIND CHAR         <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    FW   SC FW FW FW   FW FW FW FW   FW FW FW SC   SC SC SC
POP 12HR           10     0       5     5       5     5       5    10
RAIN SHWRS                                                         IS
TSTMS                                                              IS

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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