FORT LYON WILDFIRE WEST SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

FORT LYON WILDFIRE WEST
38.08N 103.03W ELEV. 3860 FT
307 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

DATE           03/27/15      SAT 03/28/15            SUN 03/29/15            MON
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      38          83          43          70          38
TEMP          70 73 58 47 41 39 51 73 82 81 61 53 47 43 51 63 69 66 52 46 42 38
DEWPT         31 29 35 35 34 34 37 35 31 25 28 32 33 34 30 26 21 17 22 27 28 29
MAX/MIN RH                   85          13          69          14          72
RH            23 19 42 63 76 82 59 25 16 13 28 44 58 70 44 24 16 15 31 47 57 70
WIND DIR       W SW SW  W  W  W  W  W SW  S  S SW NW  N  N  N NE  E SE SE  S  S
WIND SPD       6  6  6  9  8  9  9  6  8  9  8  9 12 13 16 12  8 10  8  8  5  9
WIND GUST                                            28
CLOUDS        FW SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW
POP 12HR                      0           0           0           5           5
LAL            1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1
HAINES         2  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  4  5  5  4  3  3  3  2  3  3  3  3  3
15K WIND DIR  NW NW  N NW NW NW NW NW NW  W  W NW  W  W NW NW  W NW  W  W  W  W
15K WIND SPD  40 46 36 31 29 28 28 23 20 24 26 23 19 28 34 33 26 25 21 12 16 19
MIX HGT       10 11 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 10 12 12 <1 <1 <1 <1  3  5  6  5 <1 <1 <1 <1
T WIND DIR    NW NW  W NW NW  W  W NW  W  W  S  W NW  N  N NW NW  W SE SE  S  S
T WIND SPD    25 23  9 10 12 13  9 17 14 18  6 11 20 19 25 14 10  3 13 16 12 14
SMOKE DISP    EX EX PR PR PR PR PR VG EX EX PR PR PR PR GD GD FR PR PR PR PR PR
CRTCL FWX POT  P  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  P  U  U  U  U  U  P  U  P  U  U  U  U


DATE           03/30/15  TUE 03/31/15  WED 04/01/15  THU 04/02/15  FRI 04/03/15
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          77      39    79      43    75      37    71      36    63
TEMP          67 72 48   39 69 75 52   43 69 71 47   37 65 67 45   36 58 60
DEWPT         32 26 33   31 31 23 34   31 26 21 28   29 22 19 29   28 24 18
PWIND DIR         S      SE    SW      SW    NW      NE     S       E     N
WIND CHAR       <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    FW FW FW   FW FW FW SC   FW SC SC SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC B1
POP 12HR          0       5     0       5     5       5     5      10    10
RAIN SHWRS                                                         IS IS IS
SNOWSHWRS                                                          IS IS

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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