NOLAN GULCH PRESCRIBED BURN SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

NOLAN GULCH PRESCRIBED BURN
38.20N 105.98W ELEV. 8330 FT
150 PM MST FRI DEC 19 2014

DATE                FRI 12/19/14            SAT 12/20/14            SUN 12/21/14
MST 3HRLY     02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
UTC 3HRLY     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

MAX/MIN                      32          11          35          14          36
TEMP                      29 24 16 14 11 11 14 27 35 30 21 18 15 14 16 29 36 31
DEWPT                     17 13 10 10  8 10  9 16 17 15 12 13 14 11 15 18 19 19
MIN/MAX RH                   46         100          46          98          49
RH                        60 62 77 84 87 96 80 63 47 53 68 80 96 88 96 63 50 61
WIND DIR                   S  W  W  W  W  W  W  W SW  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W
WIND SPD                   5  4  6  6  6  6  8  5  4  5  8  9  9 10 13 16 14 13
CLOUDS                    SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1
POP 12HR                      5           0           0           5          10
RAIN                                                                       S
SNOW                                                              S  S  S  S  S
LAL                        1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1
HAINES                     3  4  4  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  2  3  2  3  3  3  3
15K WIND DIR              NW NW NW  W  W NW NW  W  W  W
15K WIND SPD              23 19 14 13 18 21 23 23 21 23
MIX HGT                    4  1  1 <1 <1 <1 <1  1  3  1
T WIND DIR                 W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W
T WIND SPD                12  8  9  9  9  8  8  6  9  8
SMOKE DISP                FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
CRTCL FWX POT              U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U


DATE               MON 12/22/14  TUE 12/23/14  WED 12/24/14  THU 12/25/14
MST 6HRLY     23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17 23   05 11 17
UTC 6HRLY     06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MIN/MAX            21    40      17    34      16    36      17    33
TEMP          25   22 39 35 21   17 30 27 19   16 31 29 20   17 29 22
DEWPT         20   20 25 19 17   13 17 14 12   13 16 16 16   15 14  8
PWIND DIR           W     W      NW    NW       W     W      SW     W
WIND CHAR         15>   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    B1   B1 B1 B1 B1   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC B1   B1 B1 B1
POP 12HR           20    30      20     5       5     5      10    20
RAIN                   S  C
SNOW           S    S  S     S    S                      S    S  S  S

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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