PURGATORIE WILDFIRE SITE, Colorado Experimental Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrice(PFM).

PURGATORIE WILDFIRE
37.21N 104.23W ELEV. 5600 FT
1042 PM MDT TUE SEP 30 2014

DATE           09/30/14      WED 10/01/14            THU 10/02/14            FRI
MDT 3HRLY     15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06
UTC 3HRLY     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

MIN/MAX                      45          74          42          67          41
TEMP                   55 50 45 58 66 74 70 55 50 46 42 47 57 65 65 52 50 44 42
DEWPT                  34 35 34 35 34 32 33 35 37 39 38 38 33 30 29 29 31 29 27
MAX/MIN RH                   65          22          88          25          60
RH                     45 56 65 42 30 21 25 47 61 76 86 71 40 27 26 41 48 55 55
WIND DIR                W  W  W NW NE SE  S NW NW  N  N  N  N  N  E  S SW SW  W
WIND SPD                9  9  8  5  3  5  5  9 11 10 12 13 11  6  4  4  5  5  6
CLOUDS                 FW FW FW FW SC SC B1 B1 B1 B2 B1 B1 SC FW CL CL CL CL CL
POP 12HR                      0           5          30          20           0
RAIN SHWRS                               SC SC SC IS IS
TSTMS                                    IS IS
LAL                     1  1  1  1  1  1  2  2  1  1  1  1  1  1  1
HAINES                  3  3  2  3  2  4  4  4  3  3  2  2  2  2  2  3  3  3  3
15K WIND DIR            W  W  W  W SW SW SW  W  W  W  W  W  N  N NW NW NW NW NW
15K WIND SPD           18 19 26 31 31 26 20 20 34 33 32 18 35 43 36 34 26 26 29
MIX HGT                <1 <1 <1  2  7 12  9 <1  2  2  2  4  6  7  5 <1 <1 <1 <1
T WIND DIR              W NW NW NW  W SW SW NW  N  N  N  N NW NW NW  S SW  W NW
T WIND SPD             12 13 12  9 17 25 25 18 14 19 16 23 21 23 14  5  6  6  4
SMOKE DISP             PR PR PR PR EX EX EX PR PR FR PR GD VG VG GD PR PR PR PR
CRTCL FWX POT           U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U


DATE           10/03/14  SAT 10/04/14  SUN 10/05/14  MON 10/06/14  TUE 10/07/14
MDT 6HRLY     12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18
UTC 6HRLY     18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00 06   12 18 00

MAX/MIN          72      44    78      46    78      47    80      50    80
TEMP          60 66 52   44 70 72 54   46 70 75 56   48 77 78 59   50 79 79
DEWPT         31 33 36   34 30 32 33   32 30 33 37   35 33 34 35   36 35 35
PWIND DIR         S      SW     N      SW     N       S     S      SW     N
WIND CHAR       <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15     <15   <15
AVG CLOUDS    CL CL FW   FW FW FW FW   FW FW FW FW   FW FW FW FW   FW FW FW
POP 12HR          0       0     0       5     5       5     5       5     5

BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT DAY 1 THROUGH 3... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMDITY RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........WIND DIRECTION WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED; BK = BROKEN; OV = OVERCAST CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... TYPE... RAIN...........RAIN RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE SNOW...........SNOW SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS SLEET..........SLEET FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE K..............SMOKE F..............FOG COVERAGE... IS.............ISOLATED SC.............SCATTERED NM.............NUMEROUS O..............OCCASIONAL S..............SLIGHT CHANCE C..............CHANCE L..............LIKELY WD.............WIDESPREAD D..............DEFINITE AR.............AREAS PA.............PATCHY LAL(CAT)............................LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL HAINES(CAT).........................HAINES INDEX 10K WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).......10000 FOOT WIND DIRECTION 10K WIND SPD(MPH)...................10000 FOOT WIND SPEED MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........MIXING HEIGHT EXAMPLE: 6 = 6000 FEET; 12 = 12000 FEET; <1 = LESS THAN 1000 FOOT T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED SMOKE DISP(CAT(KT-FT))...................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY EXAMPLE: PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD; VG = VERY GOOD; EX = EXCELLENT CRTCL FWX POT........................CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL CRTCL FWX POT USES TEMPERATURE, HUMIDITY, WIND, WIND GUST, AND HAINES EXAMPLE: U = UNLIKELY; P = POSSIBLE; L = LIKELY; S = SEVERE DAY 4 THROUGH 7... MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY WIND SPD(MPH).......................WIND SPEED EXAMPLE: <15 = LESS THAN 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH OR GREATER AVE CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION WEATHER... SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS


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