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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
635 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-051245-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
635 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...THEN SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH.  HOWEVER...A
FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ROUGHLY FROM CROWLEY AND OTERO COUNTIES AND
EASTWARD. THESE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN
DIAMETER...AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. A STRONG SOUTHERLY FEED OF
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS IN PLACE
ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO ON TUESDAY. STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS WHERE HAIL UP TO AROUND 1
INCH IN DIAMETER...WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY STORM THREATS.
ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORM THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL UP
TO 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY IF STORMS IMPACT ONE OF THE BURN SCARS.
SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 11000 FEET WITH THIS STORM
SYSTEM...AND THE HIGHER PEAKS ABOVE THIS ELEVATION COULD PICK UP
OVER 6 INCHES OF FRESH SHOW THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALTHOUGH THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LESS WIDESPREAD...AND NOT QUITE AS STRONG...THEY WILL STILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD CAUSE
RUN-OFF PROBLEMS SHOULD THEY IMPACT AREA BURN SCARS.

THE DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY...THOUGH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
STILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN AREAS. ANOTHER UPSWING IN
PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR FRIDAY AS ANOTHER SYSTEM
MOVES ACROSS COLORADO. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS BY LATE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER MOST OF SOUTHERN
COLORADO.

$$

27/31




National Weather Service
Central Region Headquarters
Kansas City, Missouri
Last Modified: March 29, 2004
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