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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1014 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-231515-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
WESTERN WALSH-
1014 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TONGUE RIVER
DOWNSTREAM OF RENWICK DAM IN PEMBINA COUNTY. A MAKESHIFT CLAY
LEVEE CONTINUES TO HOLD THE VERY HIGH WATERS AT THE DAM.
HOWEVER...THERE ARE OLDER DAMS UPSTREAM THAT COULD POSSIBLY FAIL
AND CAUSE THE WATER TO SPILL OVER AT RENWICK. A BREACH REMAINS
POSSIBLE.

AREAL AND RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
RED RIVER VALLEY AND ITS TRIBUTARIES. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD
WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ON SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AREAL AND RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
RED RIVER VALLEY AND ITS TRIBUTARIES. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD
WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ON SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

AYD






Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1041 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

...THIS IS AN UPDATE TO EXTEND THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK AFFECTING KITTSON COUNTY

.THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO
RISE TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL
RISES TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ARE ALSO EXPECTED ON THE SOUTH BRANCH
OF THE BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE TWO RIVERS
RIVER NEAR HALLOCK IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR 803.3 FEET THROUGH
THURSDAY THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY FALL.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON`T DROWN...

 - DON`T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-231541-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0038.130523T0600Z-130524T1800Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.130523T0600Z.130523T0600Z.130523T1200Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY
  MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 12.0 ON AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.
  VERY MINOR FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             12.0   11.0    9.7    8.7    7.9    7.5    7.2

$$



Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1041 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

...THIS IS AN UPDATE TO EXTEND THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK AFFECTING KITTSON COUNTY

.THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO
RISE TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL
RISES TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ARE ALSO EXPECTED ON THE SOUTH BRANCH
OF THE BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE TWO RIVERS
RIVER NEAR HALLOCK IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR 803.3 FEET THROUGH
THURSDAY THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY FALL.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON`T DROWN...

 - DON`T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-231541-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0039.130524T1200Z-130527T0300Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.130524T1200Z.130525T0000Z.130525T2100Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  4:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 12.5 ON FRIDAY EVENING DURING
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          10.7   12.0   12.4   10.9    9.4    8.3    7.5

$$



Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1118 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

...THIS IS AN UPDATE TO EXTEND THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CASS AND CLAY COUNTIES
  * THE RED RIVER AT OSLO AFFECTING POLK...GRAND FORKS...MARSHALL
  AND WALSH COUNTIES
  * THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON AFFECTING PEMBINA...MARSHALL...WALSH
  AND KITTSON COUNTIES
  * THE RED RIVER AT PEMBINA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND KITTSON COUNTIES

.THE RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS IS MOVING INTO THE
MAIN STEM RED RIVER. THE ADDITIONAL RUNOFF IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THE
RED RIVER BACK ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE AT FARGO...OSLO...DRAYTON AND
PEMBINA.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON`T DROWN...

 - DON`T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

NDC017-MNC027-231618-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-130527T1200Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.130523T0600Z.130524T0600Z.130526T0600Z.NO/
1118 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 18.5 ON EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 19.0 FEET, FARGO...LOW-LEVEL DAM SOUTH OF
  MAIN AVENUE IS UNDERWATER.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29

RED RIVER
  FARGO             18.2   18.5   18.3   17.8   17.2   16.9   16.8

$$




National Weather Service
Central Region Headquarters
Kansas City, Missouri
Last Modified: March 29, 2004
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