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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1035 AM CDT THU APR 24 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1035 AM CDT THU APR 24 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO THE WEST OF HIGHWAY 75.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE
AREA. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE HAIL TO
THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. ALL
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL HAVE MOVED TO THE EAST OF THE AREA BY THE
EVENING HOURS.

THE RISK OF RAPID FIRE SPREAD WILL INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING AND
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT...AS
WINDS INCREASE FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
DECREASES.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...
           HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK
AND ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...LEADING TO MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER. ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 75 IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA. WIDESPREAD AND HIGH
END SEVERE STORMS WILL BE MOST LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. TORNADOES...POSSIBLY
STRONG...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL ALL
BE POSSIBLE WITH SUNDAYS STORMS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECASTS AND
OUTLOOKS IN THE COMING DAYS AS THE OVERALL THREAT LEVEL AND
ADDITIONAL DETAILS ARE REFINED LEADING UP TO SUNDAY.

BESIDES THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...INCREASED FIRE DANGER
WILL ALSO BE A PROBLEM FRIDAY AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON
ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 DUE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$










Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1252 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241900-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
1252 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

.NOW...
AT 12:52 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
MEANWHILE...A LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES TO ADVANCE EAST THROUGH
EASTERN OKLAHOMA...ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH
THE REGION. ALL OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE LIFTING NORTHEAST
AT AROUND 30 MPH.

THROUGH 2:00 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
EAST ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...IMPACTING LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST
OF A WANN TO LEONARD TO WELEETKA LINE. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS
LIKELY ON THE SOUTHERN END OF THIS BOUNDARY...WHICH WOULD RESULT
IN ACTIVITY AFFECTING LOCATIONS FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. A PERIOD OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS.
ADDITIONALLY...SCATTERED MAINLY LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE FOR
LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE EAST
OF A HACKETT TO MARBLE LINE. AVERAGE RAINFALL OF LESS THAN ONE
TENTH OF AN INCH IS EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

$$









National Weather Service
Central Region Headquarters
Kansas City, Missouri
Last Modified: March 29, 2004
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