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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
455 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS
OF THE AREA IN A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS. A FEW OF THE
STORMS THAT OCCUR EARLY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS WILL HAVE SEVERE POTENTIAL...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP OUT TO THE WEST OF THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE DRY LINE MAY EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL CARRY A
CONTINUED THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY
WITH MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. THIS WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED
THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY...ALONG WITH A MORE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN THREAT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR REMAIN IN PLACE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
223 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...

  Deep Fork River near Beggs affecting Okmulgee County.

  Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties.

OKC131-143-270323-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160527T1712Z/
/CVLO2.1.ER.160526T1707Z.160527T0600Z.160527T1112Z.NO/
223 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Caney River near Collinsville.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 26.11 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Caney River near Collinsville will continue rising
  to near 27.3 feet late tonight. The river is expected to fall
  below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. County
  roads north of Collinsville may be covered with water.

&&

LAT...LON 3635 9588 3630 9570 3636 9564 3643 9580

$$




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-270045-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-
MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-
MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
500 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

.NOW...

AT 4:56 PM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND OVER PARTS OF NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

THROUGH 7:30 PM... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO ADVANCE NORTHWARD... MAINLY AFFECTING LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF
HIGHWAY 69 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF SEVERAL HUNDREDTHS TO A TENTH OF AN
INCH... ARE ANTICIPATED. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY FROM
THUNDERSTORMS.

$$




National Weather Service
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Last Modified: March 29, 2004
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