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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1131 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-290645-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1131 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

.NOW...
AT 11:30 PM...DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND WEST OF A PAWHUSKA TO COFFEYVILLE LINE.
MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 35 MPH.

THROUGH 1:30 AM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS
AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA TO THE NORTH OF I-44. PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCUR...ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

$$

69



Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
848 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
848 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS
EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
AROUND 10 PM.

A COMPLEX OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS
THIS EVENING WILL CONTINUE TO DIVE SOUTH...REACHING PARTS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BETWEEN 9 AND 10 PM. WHILE AN OVERALL WEAKENING
TREND IS ANTICIPATED AS THEY MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY TO THE
NORTH AND WEST OF THE TULSA AREA. WHILE THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
DECREASE DURING THE NIGHT AS AS THE STORMS MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS
THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WEAKENS OVER THE REGION. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
AND POSSIBLY SATURDAY NIGHT AS WELL AS UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE PLAINS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD BACK OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A RETURN OF HOT AND
HUMID CONDITIONS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




National Weather Service
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Kansas City, Missouri
Last Modified: March 29, 2004
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