-- UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND MODEL COMPARISONS --

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION 
NWS EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1117 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2005 
.DISCUSSION... WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER LAKE
OF THE WOODS COUNTY WITH SOME THUNDER OCCURRING ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE
UPPER LOW. SHOWERS/THUNDER CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN MB WHERE ETA HAS CAPES
UNDER 1000 J/KG. AREA WAS UNDER RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER LEVEL JET.
UPPER JET SHIFTS EAST TODAY AS UPPER LOW OVER MB MOVES TO WESTERN WI.
UPPER AIR CHARTS HAVE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AT 850 HPA AT BIS FOR THUNDER.
RADAR TREND SHOWS PRECIPITATION IN SOUTHERN MB NOT MOVING INTO NORTHEAST
ZONES THOUGH MODEL WANTS TO MOVE PRECIPITATION SOUTHEAST. TAMDAR SOUNDING
OVER EASTERN ZONES INDICATE MODEL SOUNDINGS NOT HANDLING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE VERY WELL BELOW 800 HPA AND HAS AN INVERSION BELOW 700 HPA.

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