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Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1134 AM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

...HEAVY RAIN LIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST UTAH AND SOUTHWEST COLORADO
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TODAY. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL
COMBINE WITH THE LATEST SURGE OF MOISTURE AND WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOME OF
THESE SLOW MOVING STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. THEREFORE
THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THIS
EVENING...ESPECIALLY IF EXCESSIVE RAIN FALLS OVER AREAS WHERE
SOILS ARE ALREADY SATURATED. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE OVER
SOUTHEAST UTAH AND SOUTHWEST COLORADO.

COZ011-017>023-UTZ022-027>029-240400-
/O.CON.KGJT.FF.A.0009.160823T1800Z-160824T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
1134 AM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF COLORADO AND UTAH...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...IN COLORADO...ANIMAS RIVER BASIN...CENTRAL GUNNISON
  AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN...FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES
  RIVER...NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER
  DOLORES RIVER...SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN...SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN
  MOUNTAINS AND UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE. IN UTAH...
  ARCHES/GRAND FLAT...CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES...LA SAL AND
  ABAJO MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST UTAH.

* UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP INTO THE
  EVENING. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT SOME STORMS WILL PRODUCE
  EXCESSIVELY HEAVY RAIN IN AREAS WHERE SOILS ARE ALREADY
  SATURATED.

* FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN SLOT CANYONS...SMALL STREAMS AND
  NORMALLY DRY WASHES. HEAVY RAINFALL OVER STEEP TERRAIN MAY ALSO
  TRIGGER MUD AND ROCK SLIDES. FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS WITH POOR
  DRAINAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
221 PM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

NMC043-232215-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0349.160823T2021Z-160823T2215Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SANDOVAL-
221 PM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL SANDOVAL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 415 PM MDT

* AT 219 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEAST OF TORREON NAVAJO
  MISSION. THESE STORMS WERE DRIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST. RADAR
  INDICATES AROUND 1 INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN LESS THAN 45
  MINUTES...AND HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF
  RAIN IS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL CREATE HIGH WATER FLOWS IN ARROYO
  PIEDRA LUMBRE...ARROYO BALCON...AND TORREON WASH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TORREON NAVAJO MISSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...DITCHES ARE DEADLY.  A GENTLE FLOW OF WATER CAN BECOME A
RAGING TORRENT IN A MATTER OF MINUTES.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3589 10694 3564 10700 3564 10727 3588 10723

$$

34

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1251 PM MST TUE AUG 23 2016

AZC001-017-232245-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FA.Y.0094.160823T1951Z-160823T2245Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
APACHE AZ-NAVAJO AZ-
1251 PM MST TUE AUG 23 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A

* SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  APACHE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ARIZONA...
  NAVAJO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...

* UNTIL 345 PM MST

* AT 1250 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAIN FROM SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN APACHE AND
  NAVAJO COUNTIES. THIS WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE
  ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  KAYENTA...CHILCHINBITO AND DENNEHOTSO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

LAT...LON 3690 10987 3678 10968 3660 10974 3649 11007
      3661 11029 3676 11032 3690 11029

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
137 PM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

NMC015-232230-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0121.160823T1937Z-160823T2230Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EDDY NM-
137 PM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 430 PM MDT

* AT 135 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
  THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CARLSBAD CAVERNS NATIONAL
  PARK. THIS WILL CAUSE ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE
  ADVISORY AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  CARLSBAD CAVERNS NATIONAL PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.

&&

LAT...LON 3232 10438 3216 10442 3211 10462 3229 10461

$$

67


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
312 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-241000-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
312 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
ACROSS THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS AND EASTERN
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH THE MAIN HAZARDS
BEING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...HAIL...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES PERSIST THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY. WHILE AN
ISOLATED STRONG STORM CAN`T BE RULED OUT...WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE READY FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
123 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-241830-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
123 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016 /1223 PM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.  SOME WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL, SMALL
HAIL AND STRONG WINDS TO 50 MPH.  HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
FLOODING OF ARROYOS, DRAWS, STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS,
ESPECIALLY FROM THE VAN HORN AND MARFA AREAS, NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE UPPER TRANS PECOS, FAR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND NORTHERN
PERMIAN BASIN THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL CONTINUE EACH DAY THIS WEEK, WITH AMPLE
MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE PROMOTING HEAVY RAINFALL.  ON WEDNESDAY,
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO SEE HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING INCLUDE THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND UPPER TRANS PECOS IN WEST
TEXAS.  THE EMPHASIS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SHIFT WESTWARD THURSDAY
TO THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF WEST TEXAS.
RIVER RISES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE, AND PECOS RIVER
IN EDDY COUNTY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1137 AM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

COZ058>089-093>099-241745-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA  VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE`S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FEET-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1137 AM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST
NUMEROUS OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...WHERE SLOW
MOVING STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR BURN SCARS. SOME OF THE
STRONGER STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 45 MPH
AND SMALL HAIL. OVERNIGHT...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR STORMS OVER
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND PIKES PEAK REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAIN
AREAS. STORMS WILL BECOME LESS WIDESPREAD OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO MONDAY.

ALL STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTING...AND GUSTY WINDS. ON WEDNESDAY...A
COUPLE OF STORMS EAST OF I-25 AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 COULD BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH HAIL UP TO AN INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND
GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. ON THURSDAY...1 OR 2 STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AND AROUND THE PIKES PEAK REGION.

AREA BURN SCARS...INCLUDING THE WALDO CANYON AND HAYDEN PASS
SCARS...WILL BE AT PARTICULAR RISK FOR FLOODING OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. PEOPLE IN AND AROUND THESE FLOOD PRONE AREAS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND FOLLOW THE LATEST FORECASTS AND
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

$$

50/50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
617 AM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

NMZ501>540-241200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
617 AM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO TONIGHT...MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF THE
STATE AND FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS INTO THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS. RAINFALL COULD BECOME LOCALLY HEAVY. THIS MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR
RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS AND STEEPER TERRAIN LOCALES WHERE
SOILS ARE QUITE WET TO SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS. ISOLATED
LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE WELL OVER AN INCH OF RAINFALL. A FEW STORMS
MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
THIRD OF THE STATE AND PERHAPS ALSO ACROSS THE GILA REGION...THEN
EXPANDING ACROSS MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. STORM MOTIONS WILL BE RATHER SLOW...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME HEAVY. THIS MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR
RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE UP TO 2
INCHES OF RAINFALL EACH DAY. A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL
HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

43

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
355 AM MST TUE AUG 23 2016

AZZ004>018-037>040-240300-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
355 AM MST TUE AUG 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ALONG THE ARIZONA UTAH
BORDER TODAY. AN ENHANCED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AFFECT AREAS SOUTH OF A PRESCOTT TO WINSLOW TO WINDOW ROCK LINE
THROUGH MID MORNING...BRINGING MODERATE RAIN AMOUNTS. FROM LATE
MORNING INTO EARLY EVENING...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING...AS WELL AS
A FEW STORMS WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
CONTINUING. DRIER AIR COULD BRING A DOWNTURN IN STORMS
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO THE NWS FLAGSTAFF OFFICE AT 1-888-745-1637.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
437 AM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

TXZ021>044-240945-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
437 AM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING
PLAINS AND THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
ACROSS THE REGION AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR PULSE TYPE
STORMS WHICH MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND DOWNBURST WINDS TO 55
MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
259 AM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-240900-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
259 AM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOON TO 10 PM MDT FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST
COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST UTAH...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN...ARE
EXPECTED OVER MOST OF SOUTHWEST COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST UTAH THIS
AFTENOON AND EVENING. FLASH FLOODING, MAINLY IN RURAL AREAS AND
STEEP TERRAIN, ALONG WITH ROCK AND MUD SLIDES ARE POSSIBLE. URBAN
AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREAS WILL SEE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH DRIER CONDITIONS MONDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
333 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

TXZ022>024-028>030-033>035-039-040-232145-
CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-
YOAKUM-TERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DIMMITT...HART...TULIA...SILVERTON...
QUITAQUE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...CEDAR HILL...
MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...DENVER CITY...PLAINS...BROWNFIELD
333 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

.NOW...
AT 330 PM, NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
SHOW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SCATTERED ALONG A LINE STRETCHING
FROM YOAKUM COUNTY WEST OF DENVER CITY...NORTHEAST TO NEAR
SILVERTON IN BRISCOE COUNTY. THROUGH 430 PM, INDIVIDUAL STORM
CELLS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH WHILE THE LINE OF STORMS WILL SLOWLY
ADVANCE EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCASIONALLY BE STRONG WITH UP TO NICKLE-
SIZED HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
242 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

TXZ022-023-027>029-033>035-039-040-232145-
CASTRO-SWISHER-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-YOAKUM-
TERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DIMMITT...HART...TULIA...MULESHOE...
LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...
DENVER CITY...PLAINS...BROWNFIELD
242 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

.NOW...
AT 230 PM, NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A BROKEN
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING FROM YOAKUM COUNTY
NEAR THE TOWN OF PLAINS...NORTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHERN SWISHER COUNTY
SOUTH OF TULIA. THROUGH 330 PM, THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
AT ABOUT 25 MPH. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH UP
TO NICKLE-SIZED HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...AND BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE