weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
853 PM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015

NMZ512>515-523-527>535-061100-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FF.A.0009.150706T1800Z-150707T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
853 PM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NM...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...CURRY
  COUNTY...EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...EASTERN SAN
  MIGUEL COUNTY...FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...GUADALUPE COUNTY...
  HARDING COUNTY...NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS
  ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER...QUAY COUNTY...RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON
  MESA...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET...UNION COUNTY
  AND WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT

* A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST PLAINS WILL
  PROVIDE FOCUS FOR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY
  AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. DUE TO A VERY MOIST AND
  UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE...ANY STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF VERY HEAVY
  RAIN. SLOW MOVING OR TRAINING STORMS WILL EXACERBATE THE FLASH
  FLOODING THREAT. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* BURN SCAR AREAS AND VERY STEEP TERRAIN...LOCATIONS THAT HAVE
  RECEIVED RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL...AND URBAN DRAINAGES WILL BE THE
  MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING IF HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

34


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
815 PM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-070215-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
815 PM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
TONIGHT. DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST MONDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN COLORADO. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS
FORECAST TO FALL MONDAY AND TUESDAY OVER THE MOUNTAINS...SPREADING
INTO THE PLAINS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE
FAR EASTERN PLAINS. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE HAIL...STRONG
OUTFLOW WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL MOVE INTO
THE REGION ON SATURDAY.

GIVEN THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION AND ALREADY
SATURATED AND FULL STREAM BEDS...ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE LIKELY WHICH MAY LEAD TO FURTHER FLOODING ACROSS THE
REGION...ESPECIALLY MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

$$

28/28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
408 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-060915-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
408 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS MAINLY THE OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE AND THE WESTERN ONE THIRD OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. ANY
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES THROUGH FRIDAY. A FEW STORMS THAT DEVELOP DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY
HAZARD. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST
STORMS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

GOEHRING

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
231 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-061945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
231 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015 /131 PM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST MAINLY SOUTH AND WEST OF THE
PECOS RIVER IN WEST TEXAS, AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. A
FEW OF THE STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, THE COMBINATION OF ABUNDANT MOISTURE
AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
553 AM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-061200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
553 AM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING SOME HEAVY RAINS
TO THE REGION. FLOODING CONCERNS WILL BE HEIGHTENED. CONVECTION
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT THOUGH MORE SHOWERS THAN
STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

MOISTURE CONTINUES STREAMING UP FROM THE SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. GREATEST COVERAGE IS EXPECTED MONDAY DROPPING EACH DAY
AFTER THAT. DRY WEATHER LOOKS TO MAKE A RETURN SATURDAY AND
BEYOND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT...HOWEVER
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OR ANY OBSERVED
FLOODING TO THE GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST OFFICE.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
534 AM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015

NMZ501>540-061200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
534 AM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT. STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME
HEAVY. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING...
ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS. ISOLATED
LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE AROUND 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. A FEW STORMS
MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME
HEAVY. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING...
ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS...AND ACROSS
THE EASTERN PLAINS AND HIGHLANDS. ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE
IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING
1.888.386.7637. YOU CAN ALSO SUBMIT STORM REPORTS AND PHOTOS ON
OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR VIA TWITTER USING THE HASHTAG N M W X.

$$

11


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NMZ501>540-071630-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1022 AM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015

...FLASH FLOODING WITH MAIN STEM RIVER RISES EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY...

A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WILL GET AN EXTRA BOOST BY A
STRONG SURFACE FRONT SURGING SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL FOCUS WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT...THEN OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW
MEXICO AGAIN TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

SOIL CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY SATURATED ACROSS MANY AREAS DUE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HIGH TERRAIN AND ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY INDICATE WIDESPREAD AVERAGE
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER NEW MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS LIKELY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

THIS HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK IS TARGETING THE POSSIBILITY FOR AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING THAT MAY LEAD TO RISES ON MAIN STEM RIVERS AND
THEIR TRIBUTARIES. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED ON
THIS OUTLOOK IN THE FORM OF FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...RIVER FORECAST
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
UPDATED WHEN THE MORE ELEVATED FLOOD HAZARD PERIOD DIMINISHES.

$$

GUYER

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE