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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
908 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-240215-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
908 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014 /808 PM MDT TUE JUL 22 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS...GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
INCLUDING PRESIDIO...LAJITAS AND THE BIG BEND AREA. DUE TO THE
INTENSE HEAT ACROSS THE AREA...TAKE THE APPROPRIATE SAFETY
PRECAUTIONS AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER TO AVOID HEAT RELATED
ILLNESS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH MOST
AREAS OTHER THAN THE MOUNTAINS SEEING TEMPERATURES ABOVE 100
DEGREES...AND TEMPERATURES ABOVE 105 DEGREES DEVELOPING IN THE
PECOS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY BY THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY. EXCESSIVE HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE
EXTENDED IN TIME AND EXPANDED TO COVER A LARGER AREA AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES DUE TO VERY HOT DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND WARM NIGHTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
347 PM MST TUE JUL 22 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-230800-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
347 PM MST TUE JUL 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER NORTHERN
ARIZONA AS THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SITS OVER NEW
MEXICO. THE CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL
HIGH WILL DRAW DEEPER NORTHWARD INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA. EXPECT SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND PORTIONS
OF THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM ELSEWHERE. LOCAL THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS TO
AROUND 50 MPH IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS FAR NORTH AS FLAGSTAFF
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THEN TO THE GRAND CANYON COUNTRY BY THE
WEEKEND. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT INITIALLY FORM WILL BE
HIGH BASED WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OUTFLOW WINDS...THEN WETTER STORMS WILL REPLACE THE HIGHER BASED
STORMS AS THE MOISTURE PROGRESSES NORTHWESTWARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
600 AM MDT TUE JUL 22 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-231200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
600 AM MDT TUE JUL 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
COLORADO...NORTHWEST COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...
SOUTHWEST COLORADO...WEST CENTRAL COLORADO...EAST CENTRAL UTAH...
NORTHEAST UTAH AND SOUTHEAST UTAH.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE WESTERN COLORADO HIGH COUNTRY...PRIMARILY OVER THE GORE
RANGE...THE ELK AND SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR TONIGHT OVER SOUTHWEST COLORADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH
DAY. MOST OF THE STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...BUT
SOME STORMS WILL MOVE OVER THE FOOTHILLS OR VALLEY LOCATIONS LATE
IN THE DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
540 AM MDT TUE JUL 22 2014

NMZ501>540-231200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
540 AM MDT TUE JUL 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT. STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME
HEAVY. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING...
ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS. ISOLATED
LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. A FEW STORMS MAY
ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD
BECOME HEAVY. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS.
ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. A FEW
STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

A DOWNTREND IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS FORECAST THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...BUT ACTIVITY WILL TREND UP BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A RENEWED THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR
RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

11


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
104 AM MDT WED JUL 23 2014

NMZ501>503-230900-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DULCE...FARMINGTON
104 AM MDT WED JUL 23 2014

.NOW...
A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
WESTWARD ACROSS NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
LOCALLY BRIEF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG
WITH WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. AREAS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED INCLUDE CEDAR HILL...AZTEC...
FARMINGTON...LA PLATA...AND OTHER NEARBY RURAL AREAS OF SAN JUAN
COUNTY.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
104 AM MDT WED JUL 23 2014

NMZ520-524>526-539-540-230900-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...ELK...GRAN QUIVIRA...PICACHO...
RUIDOSO...SOCORRO
104 AM MDT WED JUL 23 2014

.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. STORMS
WILL MOVE TOWARD THE WEST AROUND 20 MPH. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF BRIEF MODERATE RAIN...AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH WILL BE
POSSIBLE. AREAS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED THROUGH 3 AM INCLUDE RUIDOSO...
BONITO LAKE...OSCURO...BINGHAM...AND THE BOSQUE DEL APACHE.

$$

52

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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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