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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
256 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-221100-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
256 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLES. LIGHTNING
WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN
BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

GOEHRING

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1100 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-221700-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1100 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH WILL
BE THE MAIN CONCERNS.

LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ABOVE 10000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS...THE PALMER DIVIDE...AND NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE COULD BE 1 OR 2 THUNDERSTORMS
AS WELL...WITH LIGHTNING BEING THE MAIN CONCERN. SNOW SHOWERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET WITH LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS
UP TO AN INCH.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING SHOWERS TO THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
PEAKS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

$$

50/50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
518 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

NMZ501>540-221130-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
518 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN TODAY.
STORM MOTION WILL BE SOMEWHAT SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME
LOCALLY HEAVY. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING... ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR RECENT BURN SCARS. AS WINDS
ALOFT INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN WEDNESDAY. STORM MOTION WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL
COULD BECOME LOCALLY HEAVY. STORM MOTION WILL INCREASE...LIMITING
CHANCES FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

33


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
153 PM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

NMZ515-527>540-212200-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-QUAY COUNTY-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
UNION COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGEL FIRE...MORA...CAPULIN...CLAYTON...
CLOVIS...CONCHAS...ELK...FORT SUMNER...LAS VEGAS...PICACHO...
PORTALES...RATON...SPRINGER...ROSWELL...ROY...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
153 PM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO. EXPECT LIGHT
TO MODERATE RAIN WITH AMOUNTS AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH AND LOCALLY UP
TO ONE HALF INCH THROUGH 4 PM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE MESA...
ELKINS...YESO...FORT SUMNER...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI...RAGLAND AND
HOUSE.

$$

40

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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
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Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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