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FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1033 AM MDT MON JUL 6 2015

NMZ515-523-527>535-062200-
/O.EXT.KABQ.FF.A.0009.150706T1800Z-150707T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
1033 AM MDT MON JUL 6 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NM...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...CURRY COUNTY...EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...FAR NORTHEAST
  HIGHLANDS...GUADALUPE COUNTY...HARDING COUNTY...NORTHEAST
  HIGHLANDS...QUAY COUNTY...RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA AND UNION
  COUNTY.

* UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST PLAINS WILL
  PROVIDE FOCUS FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
  AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. DUE TO A VERY MOIST AND
  UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE...ANY STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF VERY HEAVY
  RAIN. SLOW MOVING OR TRAINING STORMS WILL EXACERBATE THE FLASH
  FLOODING THREAT. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* BURN SCAR AREAS AND STEEP TERRAIN...LOCATIONS THAT HAVE RECEIVED
  RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL...AND URBAN DRAINAGES WILL BE THE MOST
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING IF HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
413 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

TXZ008>010-012>015-017>020-062100-
/O.NEW.KAMA.FF.A.0005.150706T2000Z-150707T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-POTTER-CARSON-GRAY-WHEELER-RANDALL-
ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BORGER...MIAMI...CANADIAN...AMARILLO...
PANHANDLE...WHITE DEER...PAMPA...SHAMROCK...WHEELER...CANYON...
CLAUDE...CLARENDON...WELLINGTON
413 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF TEXAS...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...ARMSTRONG...CARSON...COLLINGSWORTH...
  DONLEY...GRAY...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...POTTER...RANDALL...
  ROBERTS AND WHEELER.

* FROM 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
PERSIST INTO TUESDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD AREAS
OF HEAVY RAIN. SOME LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WATCH AREA MAY STILL HAVE
SATURATED GROUND...ELEVATING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

ELSENHEIMER

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
336 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATER TODAY THEN
STALL TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS FRONT COMBINED WITH A MID
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL ENHANCE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
IN A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN
WILL RESULT WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

OKZ005>042-044>046-TXZ083>090-062215-
/O.NEW.KOUN.FF.A.0008.150706T2000Z-150709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COTTON-JEFFERSON-CARTER-
HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVA...CHEROKEE...MEDFORD...
PONCA CITY...ARNETT...WOODWARD...FAIRVIEW...ENID...PERRY...
CHEYENNE...TALOGA...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON...WATONGA...
KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL...
ANADARKO...YUKON...EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER...
CHICKASHA...PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE...
HOLDENVILLE...HOLLIS...MANGUM...HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK...
LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...ADA...WALTERS...
WAURIKA...ARDMORE...QUANAH...CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON...
WICHITA FALLS...MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...SEYMOUR...ARCHER CITY...
HOLLIDAY...LAKESIDE CITY...HENRIETTA
336 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN
  TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OKLAHOMA...
  ALFALFA...BECKHAM...BLAINE...CADDO...CANADIAN...CARTER...
  CLEVELAND...COMANCHE...COTTON...CUSTER...DEWEY...ELLIS...
  GARFIELD...GARVIN...GRADY...GRANT...GREER...HARMON...HUGHES...
  JACKSON...JEFFERSON...KAY...KINGFISHER...KIOWA...LINCOLN...
  LOGAN...MAJOR...MCCLAIN...MURRAY...NOBLE...OKLAHOMA...PAYNE...
  PONTOTOC...POTTAWATOMIE...ROGER MILLS...SEMINOLE...STEPHENS...
  TILLMAN...WASHITA...WOODS AND WOODWARD. IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
  ARCHER...BAYLOR...CLAY...FOARD...HARDEMAN...KNOX...WICHITA AND
  WILBARGER.

* FROM 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
  ACROSS NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...THEN SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST
  ON TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AFTERNOON
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AS
  WELL AS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO END
  BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* GENERALLY 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED. A FEW
  LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE MORE THAN 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL. RAINFALL
  RATES MAY EXCEED 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR WEATHER FORECASTS AND INFORMATION. MAKE PLANS TO GET TO
HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING HAPPENS.

&&

$$

MBS/BT


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1109 AM MDT MON JUL 6 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-071715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1109 AM MDT MON JUL 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS TODAY...PARTICULARLY ALONG AND TO THE
SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50...AS WELL AS THE RATON MESA REGION INCLUDING
LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES. HAIL UP TO AROUND 1.25 INCHES IN
DIAMETER...WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE A THREAT WITH ALL THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH THE STRONGER STORMS ACROSS CHAFFEE AND LAKE
COUNTIES...SOUTHERN TELLER COUNTY...FREMONT COUNTY...AND THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS. THIS WILL BE OF PARTICULAR
CONCERN FOR THE BURN SCARS...AND LOCATIONS WITH SUSCEPTIBLE SOILS
SUCH AS THE CHALK CREEK AND COTTONWOOD CREEK BASINS IN CHAFFEE
COUNTY. FARTHER TO THE NORTH AND EAST...ACROSS NORTHERN TELLER
AND EL PASO COUNTIES AND MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS...INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED WHICH SHOULD KEEP
RAINFALL RATES FROM THUNDERSTORMS ON THE LIGHTER SIDE.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT
FOR THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS...THOUGH RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED
TO BE LESS INTENSE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON
TUESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
EASTERN MOUNTAINS. THIS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING ON AREA STREAMS
AND LOW LYING AREAS.

WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE AREA. ABUNDANT MOISTURE
WILL LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL ONCE AGAIN
BY POSSIBLE. MODEST INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL LEAD TO A FEW
STRONG STORMS OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. LIGHTNING...GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL TO THE
SIZE OF DIMES ARE POSSIBLE.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AGAIN ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON
EVENING ACROSS THE REGION. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO A
CONTINUED FLOOD THREAT. SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS.

DRIER CONDITIONS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE
MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEEKEND. LESS MOISTURE WILL LIKELY
LIMIT ANY FLOOD THREAT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS ALL OF THE MOUNTAIN
AND HIGH VALLEY REGIONS...AND ACROSS LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES.


$$

31/10

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1147 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-071700-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1147 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF PERRY...
ENID AND CHEYENNE LINE. THIS INCLUDES PONCA CITY...ENID AND
WOODWARD.

SOUTH OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA...A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...NORTH OF A SHAWNEE TO NORMAN...LAWTON AND
VERNON TEXAS LINE.

TIMING...
4 PM TO 11 PM.

IMPACTS...
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A COLD
FRONT IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ALTHOUGH WIND SHEAR WILL BE RATHER WEAK...ENOUGH
INSTABILITY WILL BE AVAILABLE FOR STORMS TO PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS AND SOME HAIL. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND
MOVE SOUTHWARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WITHIN THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA SHOULD BE READY FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

.FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR A LARGE PART OF OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.  PLEASE REFER TO THE WATCH FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS....
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY SOUTHWARD. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WITH
LITTLE OR NO RAIN IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

.FLOODING....
FLOODING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
537 AM MDT MON JUL 6 2015

NMZ501>540-071200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
537 AM MDT MON JUL 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
QUARTER OF NEW MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...WHERE A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT. ELSEWHERE...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
NEAR 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
FRIDAY AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND FLOODING THROUGH
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ
OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637. YOU CAN ALSO SUBMIT STORM REPORTS
AND PHOTOS ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR VIA TWITTER USING THE HASHTAG N
M W X.

$$

11

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
439 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

TXZ021>044-070945-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
439 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP LATER TODAY. VERY
HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPING TONIGHT COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING REMAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY...
MAINLY ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
422 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-062130-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
422 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES. HEAVY RAIN MAY ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS...WHICH
COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING. A FEW STORMS THAT DEVELOP
COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND QUARTER SIZE
HAIL POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN
WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY HAZARD ON TUESDAY.A FEW STORMS DURING THIS
TIME PERIOD COULD BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE...BUT
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

ELSENHEIMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
407 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-070915-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
407 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPROVE TODAY
ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. SOUTHEAST OF A LARNED TO MEADE LINE STRONG
TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND
EARLY TONIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL,
AND WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE AN ISSUE LATE
TODAY AND OVERNIGHT CROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS, LOW LYING
AREAS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOUTH OF A STAFFORD TO COLDWATER
LINE THE 24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE FROM ONE
TO TWO AND HALF INCHES BETWEEN NOON TODAY AND NOON TUESDAY WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY.


WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS
AGAIN ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.


HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  TUESDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

  WEDNESDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

  THURSDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  FRIDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  SATURDAY...
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  SUNDAY...
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT SOUTHEAST
OF A LARNED TO MEADE LINE..

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

$$

BURGERT


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NMZ501>540-071630-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1022 AM MDT SUN JUL 5 2015

...FLASH FLOODING WITH MAIN STEM RIVER RISES EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY...

A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WILL GET AN EXTRA BOOST BY A
STRONG SURFACE FRONT SURGING SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL FOCUS WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT...THEN OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW
MEXICO AGAIN TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

SOIL CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY SATURATED ACROSS MANY AREAS DUE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN HIGH TERRAIN AND ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY INDICATE WIDESPREAD AVERAGE
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER NEW MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS LIKELY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

THIS HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK IS TARGETING THE POSSIBILITY FOR AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING THAT MAY LEAD TO RISES ON MAIN STEM RIVERS AND
THEIR TRIBUTARIES. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED ON
THIS OUTLOOK IN THE FORM OF FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...RIVER FORECAST
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
UPDATED WHEN THE MORE ELEVATED FLOOD HAZARD PERIOD DIMINISHES.

$$

GUYER


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1225 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-061900-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOISE CITY...KEYES...GUYMON...BEAVER...
FORGAN...DALHART...STRATFORD...SPEARMAN...GRUVER...PERRYTON...
BOOKER...HIGGINS...FOLLETT...HARTLEY...CHANNING...DUMAS...
BORGER...MIAMI...CANADIAN...VEGA...AMARILLO...PANHANDLE...
WHITE DEER...PAMPA...SHAMROCK...WHEELER...HEREFORD...CANYON...
CLAUDE...CLARENDON...WELLINGTON
1225 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.NOW...
AN AREA OF SHOWERS WITH AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE EXTREME WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND FAR
NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE. THIS AREA IS MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 20
MPH. RAINFALL RATES OF JUST A FEW HUNDREDTHS ARE EXPECTED. THE
ACTIVITY WILL AFFECT TEXLINE AND BOISE CITY THROUGH 2PM CDT.

$$

GARCIA

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE