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Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
420 AM MDT THU OCT 2 2014

NMZ501>507-510>519-521>523-527>533-022200-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
ESTANCIA VALLEY-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-UNION COUNTY-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
420 AM MDT THU OCT 2 2014

...NEAR TO SUBFREEZING LOW TEMPERATURES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EARLY FRIDAY...

A DRY AND CHILLY AIR MASS WILL INVADE NEW MEXICO TODAY...SETTING THE
STAGE FOR THE MOST WIDESPREAD OCCURRENCE OF NEAR TO SUBFREEZING
TEMPERATURES SO FAR THIS SEASON LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. THE
AREA IMPACTED...WITH SOME EXCEPTIONS DUE TO TERRAIN VARIATIONS AND IN
LARGER URBAN AREAS...WILL INCLUDE LOCALES GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE
FROM NEAR CLAYTON TO VAUGHN...LOS LUNAS AND FENCE LAKE. GENERALLY...
IN THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LOW TEMPERATURES EARLY FRIDAY
WILL BE IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S WITH ONLY THE LOWEST DIPS AND VALLEYS
APPROACHING OR BRIEFLY REACHING THE FREEZING MARK. THIS WOULD INCLUDE
SOME OF THE MORE AGRICULTURALLY SENSITIVE LOCALES AS THE FAR
NORTHEAST PLAINS...HARDING COUNTY...EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...
GUADALUPE COUNTY...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...ESTANCIA VALLEY...SANTA FE AND
VALLEY AREAS OF THE ALBUQUERQUE METRO AS WELL AS THE NORTHWEST
PLATEAU AND LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY. ELSEWHERE...MANY SPOTS WILL
REACH THE 20S TO MID 30S FOR A FEW HOURS.

MINIMUMS FRIDAY NIGHT COULD BE CLOSE TO THOSE EXPECTED TONIGHT...SO A
REPEAT OF NEAR OR SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES IS POSSIBLE BEFORE
A WARMING TREND BEGINS SATURDAY.

THOSE WITH SENSITIVE PLANTS OR HAVING OTHER FREEZE SENSITIVE CONCERNS
ACROSS NORTHERN AND WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
CHILLY TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND POSSIBLY FRIDAY NIGHT.

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
445 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-031000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
445 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK IS EAST OF A LINE FROM PONCA CITY... TO GUTHRIE...
TO CHICKASHA... TO WALTERS OKLAHOMA... TO WICHITA FALLS AND ARCHER
CITY TEXAS.

.TIMING...
ALTHOUGH STORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY INTO
THIS EVENING.... THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
BETWEEN 2 PM AND 8 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.IMPACTS...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BE THE
MAIN IMPACTS... ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY. AS THIS OCCURS A SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE EAST AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

ALTHOUGH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE AREA... THE CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE RATHER LOW WITH THIS ACTIVITY. HOWEVER... AS THE COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE I-35 CORRIDOR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON... DAYTIME HEATING
WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR AN INCREASE IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT. A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP NEAR THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND MOVE QUICKLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD PREPARE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
316 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-022215-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
316 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A LIGHT FROST IS POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE PANHANDLES
FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
626 PM MDT WED OCT 1 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-030030-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
626 PM MDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 7000 FEET TONIGHT WITH
2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
AND PIKES PEAK ABOVE 10000 FEET. IN ADDITION...LOCAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 1 INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON GRASSY AREAS
ABOVE 7000 FEET.

NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY TONIGHT WITH FROST POSSIBLE HEADING INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
POCKETS OF FROST ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY
TONIGHT WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO NEAR FREEZING AT TIMES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A HARD...KILLING FREEZE...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGH MOUNTAIN
VALLEYS...INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THURSDAY NIGHT.
WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING...IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S...WILL BE POSSIBLE.

A LIGHT FREEZE OR FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
PLAINS THURSDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE IMMEDIATE PIKES PEAK
REGION...INCLUDING MUCH OF EL PASO COUNTY. THIS AREA COULD SEE
LOWS DIP TO NEAR FREEZING FRIDAY MORNING...WHILE MOST OF THE REST
OF THE PLAINS SEES LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

FREEZING OR NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ABOVE 7000 FEET.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
520 AM MDT WED OCT 1 2014

NMZ501>540-021200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES
COUNTY-
520 AM MDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCE WILL BRUSH NORTHERN NEW MEXICO...BRINGING
POTENTIAL FOR SMALL AMOUNTS OF SNOW TO THE HIGHER PEAKS AND PASSES
OF THE FAR NORTH LATER TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LOW TEMPERATURES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING COULD BOTTOM OUT NEAR TO BELOW
FREEZING FOR SOME LOCALES IN THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU...UPPER RIO
GRANDE AND ESTANCIA VALLEYS AS WELL AS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS.
VALLEY AREAS OF THE ALBUQUERQUE METRO COULD ALSO SEE NEAR FREEZING
TEMPERATURES EARLY FRIDAY.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST
FORECASTS...WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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