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Flash Flood Warning


FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NMC051-230915-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FF.W.0082.140923T0718Z-140923T0915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
118 AM MDT TUE SEP 23 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL SIERRA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 315 AM MDT

* AT 114 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL SLOWLY DROPPING
  SOUTH INTO ELEPHANT BUTTE AND TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES FROM THE NORTH.
  RAINFALL OF ALMOST 2 INCHES IN LESS THAN AN HOUR FELL OVER THE
  AIRPORT. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL OVER THE URBAN AREAS
  WITHIN THE 1 AM HOUR. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF STREETS...ARROYOS...
  WASHES...AND URBAN DRAINAGES IS POSSIBLE. PONDING OF DEEP WATER OVER
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FLOOD PRONE REGIONS IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...
  CABALLO...
  LAS PALOMAS...
  WILLIAMSBURG...
  ELEPHANT BUTTE...
  ALAMOSA CANYON...
  NORTH MONTICELLO POINT...
  CABALLO LAKE STATE PARK...

MANY AREAS EXPERIENCED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING YESTERDAY AND LAST NIGHT
ACROSS THE REGION...INCLUDING A FLOOD FATALLY IN EL PASO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF URBAN
DRAINAGE BASINS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3337 10709 3288 10721 3289 10744 3337 10731

$$

BIRD


Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
948 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New
Mexico...Texas...

  Pecos River near Malaga 3ESE affecting Eddy County
  Pecos River at Malaga 10S affecting Eddy...Loving and Reeves
  Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
Mexico...

  Pecos River near Artesia 6E affecting Eddy County
  Pecos River below Carlsbad 2E, below Dark Canyon affecting Eddy
  County
  Dark Canyon Draw at Dark Canyon Carlsbad affecting Eddy County
  Black River above Black River Malaga 5W affecting Eddy County

.The heavy rain is coming to an and runoff will be decreasing.
Elevated stages will continue for much of Pecos river as the bulk
of the water moves downstream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters.  Turn around, don`t drown!

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued

&&

NMC015-231847-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140923T1908Z/
/CPDN5.1.ER.140923T0511Z.140923T0600Z.140923T0708Z.NO/
948 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Pecos River below Carlsbad 2E, below Dark Canyon.
* until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8PM Monday the stage was 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet (4.3 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and
  continue to rise to near 15.4 feet (4.7 meters) by after midnight
  tomorrow.  The river will fall below flood stage by after midnight
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet (4.3 meters), the river reaches minor flood
  stage, and begins flooding area farmland, mainly downstream.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.5 feet (5.6 meters) on
Sep 22 2014.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Carlsbad 2E, b 12.0 14.0    8.0   Mon  8 PM   4.3   3.3   2.5   2.0

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Carlsbad 2E, b  3.7  4.3    2.4   Mon  8 PM   1.3   1.0   0.8   0.6

&&

LAT...LON 3243 10433 3252 10419 3236 10399 3225 10412 3236 10428


$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
948 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New
Mexico...Texas...

  Pecos River near Malaga 3ESE affecting Eddy County
  Pecos River at Malaga 10S affecting Eddy...Loving and Reeves
  Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
Mexico...

  Pecos River near Artesia 6E affecting Eddy County
  Pecos River below Carlsbad 2E, below Dark Canyon affecting Eddy
  County
  Dark Canyon Draw at Dark Canyon Carlsbad affecting Eddy County
  Black River above Black River Malaga 5W affecting Eddy County

.The heavy rain is coming to an and runoff will be decreasing.
Elevated stages will continue for much of Pecos river as the bulk
of the water moves downstream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters.  Turn around, don`t drown!

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued

&&

NMC015-231847-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-140923T1925Z/
/DACN5.1.ER.140922T1756Z.140923T0600Z.140923T0725Z.NO/
848 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Dark Canyon Draw at Dark Canyon Carlsbad.
* until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8PM Monday the stage was 9.4 feet (2.9 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet (4.6 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
  to near 16.6 feet (5.1 meters) by after midnight tomorrow.  The
  river will fall below flood stage by after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet (5.5 meters), the canyon reaches moderate
  flood stage.  A few residences and businesses nearest to the bank
  near the U.S. Highway 285 bridge (Canal Street) in Carlsbad begin
  to flood.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.9 feet (5.4 meters) on
Sep 12 2013.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Dark Canyon Ca  9.0 15.0    9.4   Mon  8 PM   6.1   5.5   5.0   4.4

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Dark Canyon Ca  2.7  4.6    2.9   Mon  8 PM   1.9   1.7   1.5   1.3

&&

LAT...LON 3200 10485 3227 10485 3243 10457 3249 10418 3237 10400


$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
948 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New
Mexico...Texas...

  Pecos River near Malaga 3ESE affecting Eddy County
  Pecos River at Malaga 10S affecting Eddy...Loving and Reeves
  Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
Mexico...

  Pecos River near Artesia 6E affecting Eddy County
  Pecos River below Carlsbad 2E, below Dark Canyon affecting Eddy
  County
  Dark Canyon Draw at Dark Canyon Carlsbad affecting Eddy County
  Black River above Black River Malaga 5W affecting Eddy County

.The heavy rain is coming to an and runoff will be decreasing.
Elevated stages will continue for much of Pecos river as the bulk
of the water moves downstream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters.  Turn around, don`t drown!

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued

&&

NMC015-231802-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-140923T1802Z/
/MLAN5.1.ER.140923T0558Z.140923T0600Z.140923T0602Z.NO/
948 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Black River above Black River Malaga 5W.
* until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8PM Monday the stage was 1.8 feet (0.6 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet (5.5 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and
  continue to rise to near 18.1 feet (5.5 meters) by after midnight
  tomorrow.  The river will fall below flood stage by after midnight
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet (5.5 meters), the river reaches minor flood
  stage, and area rangeland continues flooding.  Low water crossings
  and other low-lying areas along nearby roads are flooded.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.1 feet (5.5 meters) on
Sep 19 2014.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Black River Ma 12.0 18.0    1.8   Mon  8 PM   1.3   1.0   0.6   0.5

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Black River Ma  3.7  5.5    0.6   Mon  8 PM   0.4   0.3   0.2   0.2

&&

LAT...LON 3195 10485 3212 10485 3237 10402 3221 10403 3195 10452


$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
948 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New
Mexico...Texas...

  Pecos River near Malaga 3ESE affecting Eddy County
  Pecos River at Malaga 10S affecting Eddy...Loving and Reeves
  Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
Mexico...

  Pecos River near Artesia 6E affecting Eddy County
  Pecos River below Carlsbad 2E, below Dark Canyon affecting Eddy
  County
  Dark Canyon Draw at Dark Canyon Carlsbad affecting Eddy County
  Black River above Black River Malaga 5W affecting Eddy County

.The heavy rain is coming to an and runoff will be decreasing.
Elevated stages will continue for much of Pecos river as the bulk
of the water moves downstream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters.  Turn around, don`t drown!

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued

&&

NMC015-231848-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0022.140923T1912Z-140926T0320Z/
/ATSN5.1.ER.140923T1912Z.140924T1800Z.140925T1520Z.NO/
848 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Pecos River near Artesia 6E.
* from Tuesday afternoon to Thursday evening, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* Flood stage is 12.5 feet (3.8 meters).
* Impact...At 13.5 feet (4.1 meters), the river reaches the floor of
  the instrument shelter.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.5 feet (3.5 meters) on
Jul 18 1991.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Artesia 6E     12.0 12.5      M   M          13.9  13.0  10.2   8.7

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Artesia 6E      3.7  3.8      M   M           4.2   4.0   3.1   2.7

&&

LAT...LON 3297 10443 3297 10423 3285 10425 3265 10423 3264 10443


$$

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
755 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMC015-TXC109-301-389-231245-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FA.W.0024.140923T0055Z-140923T1245Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LOVING-REEVES-CULBERSON-EDDY-
655 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN LOVING COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS...
  NORTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
  NORTHERN CULBERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
  SOUTHERN EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 645 AM MDT TUESDAY/745 AM CDT TUESDAY/

* AT 755 PM CDT...LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS HAVE
  REPORTED NUMEROUS ROADS REMAIN CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING ACROSS
  EDDY COUNTY.  OTHER SMALL ROADS MAY BE FLOODED ACROSS
  NORTHERN CULBERSON COUNTY OR NORTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTY.
  PERSONS TRAVELING THROUGH THE AREA AT NIGHT SHOULD BE VERY
  CAUTIOUS NOT TO DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVER THE ROAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. ACT QUICKLY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3246 10477 3248 10376 3171 10375 3171 10490

$$


Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
348 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN
REGION...AND UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...

.TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS TODAY CONTINUING TO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. RAINFALL RATES EXCEEDING 1 INCH PER HOUR
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...AND COMBINED WITH SATURATED
SOILS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE QUICK RUNOFF RESULTING IN FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND AREAS WITH POOR
DRAINAGE.

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ057>060-067-258-231000-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-140923T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-WARD-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...TATUM...
HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...VAN HORN...PECOS...MENTONE...
RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...MONAHANS...PINE SPRINGS
348 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014 /248 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND TEXAS...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...CENTRAL LEA
  COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
  COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA COUNTY AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY. IN
  TEXAS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...LOVING...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER
  TRANS PECOS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD AND
  WINKLER.

* THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

* AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
  AREA TODAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* FLOODING OF RIVERS...CREEKS...ARROYOS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS
  AND CITY STREETS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
WITH SATURATED SOILS...RUNOFF CAN CAUSE FLASH FLOODING QUICKLY.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1259 AM MDT TUE SEP 23 2014

NMC051-230900-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FA.Y.0225.140923T0659Z-140923T0900Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SIERRA NM-
1259 AM MDT TUE SEP 23 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL SIERRA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 300 AM MDT

* AT 1259 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. DOPPLER
  RADAR ESTIMATED AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF OF RAIN HAS ALREADY
  FALLEN ON THE AREA.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WINSTON...
  TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...
  HILLSBORO...
  CABALLO...
  LAS PALOMAS...
  UPHAM...
  ENGLE...
  WILLIAMSBURG...
  ELEPHANT BUTTE...
  CUCHILLO...
  ALAMOSA CANYON...
  NORTH MONTICELLO POINT...
  CABALLO LAKE STATE PARK...

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW WATER CROSSINGS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE
FLOOD WATERS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF
URBAN DRAINAGE BASINS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3337 10690 3288 10690 3289 10763 3336 10766

$$

PAZOS

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1133 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMC027-053-230730-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0708.140923T0533Z-140923T0730Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LINCOLN-SOCORRO-
1133 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  EXTREME WEST CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  SOUTH CENTRAL SOCORRO COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 130 AM MDT

* AT 1133 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
  MOVING SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHERN SOCORRO COUNTY. THIS ACTIVITY IS
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES
  AND WILL IMPACT OLD HIGHWAY 1...INTERSTATE 25 AND HIGHWAY 380
  BETWEEN SAN ANTONIO AND BINGHAM.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN ARROYOS...SMALL
  STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOTH LOCALIZED AND DISTANT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FLOWS
IN ARROYOS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE
THROUGH THESE WATERS. WATER IN ARROYOS MAY TRAVEL MANY MILES AND TAKE
HOURS TO REACH YOUR LOCATION FROM UPSTREAM RAIN AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 10639 3347 10759 3397 10691 3392 10632
      3346 10636

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
248 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-232000-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
248 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014 /148 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY AGAIN
TODAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...
INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN ONE INCH WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO PLAINS...WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN... VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY
54 CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS. ABUNDANT
RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN THESE AREAS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS...SO IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO RAISE
CONCERNS FOR MORE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

ELEVATED FLOWS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE TODAY AND
TONIGHT DUE TO RELEASES FROM RESERVOIRS IN MEXICO AND HEAVY
RAINFALL ON BOTH SIDES OF THE RIVER. TRIBUTARIES AND ARROYOS TO
THE PECOS RIVER... SUCH AS THE RIO PENASCO...FOUR MILE
DRAW...SOUTH SEVEN RIVERS...ROCKY ARROYO...DARK CANYON...BLACK
RIVER...DELAWARE RIVER...AND WALNUT CANYON HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING
AS FLOOD WAVES MOVE DOWN CANYONS. FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN CARLSBAD
AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH FLOOD WAVES MOVING DOWN CANYONS AND THE
PECOS RIVER. ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN THAT FALLS IN THOSE AREAS WILL
CAUSE ADDITIONAL RISES...IF NOT FLOODING. ALSO LINGERING FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AREAS IN BORDEN AND SCURRY COUNTIES IS STILL A
CONCERN. FINALLY FLOODING ALONG THE PECOS RIVER FROM RED BLUFF TO
PECOS/BARSTOW IS STILL ONGOING AS IS MINOR FLOODING ON THE
COLORADO RIVER AT COLORADO CITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS IN THE
FORECAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

THE RIO GRANDE...PECOS RIVER...AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AND
ARROYOS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. THE PECOS RIVER FROM RED BLUFF TO PECOS IS
NOT EXPECTED TO CREST UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT SHOULD STAY UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS IN
FLASH FLOODING OR RIVER FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
549 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ501>540-231200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
549 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN...ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS
MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
OCCURRENCES OF FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS THAT HAVE
RECENTLY RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN AS WELL AS OVER AND NEAR BURN SCARS.
THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE MOST LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS AREAS FROM THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS WEST TO THE MANZANO AND NORTHERN SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE NORTHERN GILA REGION.
ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE UP TO 2 OR 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL. A
FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN
CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

43


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1146 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ508-509-520-524-525-230800-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...GLENWOOD...GRAN QUIVIRA...
QUEMADO...SOCORRO
1146 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 2 AM MDT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND SOUTH CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. EXPECT
MODERATE RAIN WITH OCCASIONAL HEAVY DOWNPOURS TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AVERAGING LESS THAN ONE HALF INCH...ALTHOUGH SPOTTY HIGHER
TOTALS NEAR ONE INCH AREA POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR WATER ON
ROADS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN SOCORRO COUNTY. LOCATIONS THAT
MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE RESERVE...BEAVERHEAD...DUSTY...SAN ANTONIO...
BINGHAM AND CLAUNCH.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1146 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ507-518-519-521>523-526-528>540-230800-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-ESTANCIA VALLEY-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-UNION COUNTY-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
CLAYTON...CLINES CORNERS...CLOVIS...CONCHAS...ELK...FORT SUMNER...
GRANTS...LAS VEGAS...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...PICACHO...PORTALES...
RATON...SPRINGER...ROSWELL...ROY...RUIDOSO...
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...TIJERAS...SANTA FE...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
1146 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 2 AM MDT...PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE AN EASTWARD DRIFT ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW
MEXICO. EXPECT LIGHT TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE RAIN TO PRODUCE AMOUNTS
AVERAGING LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. LOCATIONS THAT MAY
RECEIVE RAIN INCLUDE KEWA PUEBLO...PLACITAS...BELEN...ESTANCIA...
DUNKEN...ROSWELL...SANTA ROSA...TRUJILLO...MOSQUERO AND BUEYEROS.



$$

11

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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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