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Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
411 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015

NMZ535>538-041800-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0001.150504T2100Z-150506T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
411 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS...CURRY COUNTY...DE BACA
  COUNTY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTY.

* FROM 3 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

* AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH SLOWLY FROM
  SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA TODAY AND PASS OVER NEW MEXICO
  ON TUESDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
  WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN PLAINS...SETTING THE STAGE FOR
  THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
  DESTABILIZE TODAY AND CONTINUE TO BE UNSTABLE THROUGH LATE
  TUESDAY...ALLOWING FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE
  MAIN FOCUS AREA WILL BE OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL AND
  SOUTHEAST PLAINS...SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...WHERE RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS AROUND TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED
  AREAS MAY SEE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR FOUR INCHES
  BETWEEN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS MOST VULNERABLE TO FLASH FLOODING WILL INCLUDE POOR
  DRAINAGE AREAS...AREAS AROUND THE CAPROCK ESCARPMENT AND THE
  CITIES OF ROSWELL...FORT SUMNER...PORTALES AND CLOVIS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

34

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
323 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...

.AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL COMBINE WITH ABUNDANT LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE... DAYTIME HEATING... AND UPSLOPE FLOW TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS OVER WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN UNUSUALLY MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND
POSSIBLE TRAINING OF STORMS MAY CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING TONIGHT... ESPECIALLY OVER
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN.

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045-050-050000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.A.0003.150505T0000Z-150505T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
ANDREWS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...TATUM...
HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...SEMINOLE...ANDREWS
323 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 /223 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...INCLUDING
  THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...CENTRAL LEA
  COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
  COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA COUNTY AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY. IN WEST
  TEXAS...ANDREWS AND GAINES.

* TONIGHT.

* AMOUNTS...WIDESPREAD ONE HALF TO ONE INCH AMOUNTS. LOCAL 1 TO 3
  INCHES POSSIBLE.

* RAPID RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING
  OF FLOOD PRONE AND URBAN AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING.  FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
550 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015

NMZ501>540-051200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
550 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE DE BACA...CURRY...ROOSEVELT AND CHAVES
COUNTIES. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS.
HOWEVER...A STRONG TO PERHAPS AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM MAY OCCUR
ANYWHERE EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN MAY ACCOMPANY ANY OF THESE STORMS...THOUGH THE
RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING IS GREATEST ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST PLAINS. STORMS CONTAINING HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS QUAY...CURRY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTIES. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH
FLOODING THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637. YOU CAN ALSO
SUBMIT STORM REPORTS AND PHOTOS ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR VIA
TWITTER USING THE HASHTAG N M W X.

$$

34

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
351 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-050900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
351 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 /251 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THE
MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL.

HEAVY RAINFALL LOOKS LIKELY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS GAINES AND ANDREWS COUNTIES. ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 1-3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. AS A RESULT...A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND POTENTIALLY
WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
733 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015

NMZ501>511-516>521-041500-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
CHAMA...CUBA...DULCE...EL MORRO...ESPANOLA...FARMINGTON...GALLUP...
GLENWOOD...GRANTS...LOS ALAMOS...QUEMADO...SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...
TIJERAS...SANTA FE...SOCORRO...TAOS
733 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015

.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A SHORT LIVED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES...WILL TRACK NORTH TO
NORTHEAST OVER PORTIONS OF PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO BEFORE 9 AM. SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ZUNI TO
GRANTS AND GALLUP AS WELL AS THE SANTA FE AREA. SHOWERS AND STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS LATER THIS MORNING OVER
THE REGION.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
733 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015

NMZ512>515-522>540-041500-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-ESTANCIA VALLEY-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-QUAY COUNTY-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-UNION COUNTY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGEL FIRE...MORA...CAPULIN...CARRIZOZO...
CLAYTON...CLINES CORNERS...CLOVIS...CONCHAS...ELK...FORT SUMNER...
GRAN QUIVIRA...LAS VEGAS...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...PECOS...
CERRO/QUESTA...PICACHO...PORTALES...RATON...SPRINGER...RED RIVER...
ROSWELL...ROY...RUIDOSO...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
733 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2015

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW SHORT LIVED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTH TO NORTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND
EASTERN PLAINS THIS MORNING. A FEW CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES...BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
CHARACTERISTIC OF THE STORMS. SOME LOCATIONS WHICH MAY BE IMPACTED
INCLUDE RAMON TO ARABELA...RUIDOSO...ROSWELL AND DEXTER...MORA
AND WHEATLAND...AS WELL AS ESTANCIA AND CLINES CORNERS. SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS OVER THE REGION AS THE
MORNING PROGRESSES.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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