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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
513 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-300915-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
513 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING INCREASING MOISTURE TO THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT...ALLOWING FOR A RETURN OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
ROME TO ATLANTA AND MACON LINE WILL SEE THE BEST CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH A LOW END SMALL HAIL THREAT. HOWEVER...OCCASIONAL TO
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES AND INCREASING ATLANTIC MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE THE NUMEROUS AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. NEXT WEEK REMAINS UNCERTAIN DUE TO
THE HOSTILE CONDITIONS CURRENTLY BEING EXPERIENCED BY TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WHICH IT WILL NEED TO OVERCOME TO SURVIVE THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK BRINGS A WEAKENED SYSTEM
TO THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA STATE LINE BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
THE FORECAST TRACK HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY. THIS WOULD RESULT IN
A HEAVY RAIN SCENARIO BY MID WEEK FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN TIER OF
OUR AREA WITH FLOODING THE MAIN CONCERN. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO THE
LATEST FORECASTS FROM THIS OFFICE ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER
SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
351 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-292000-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
351 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT AS AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARDS THE AREA. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL..GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY
EACH AFTERNOON. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SUNDAY
WITH STRONG WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
430 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-300830-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION-
BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-
WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
430 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

...ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AT
AREA BEACHES...

...TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM ERIKA MAY ENHANCE POTENTIAL FLOOD THREAT
NEXT WEEK...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ONSHORE WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS WILL CREATE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES.

NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. MOST OF THE SCATTERED
ACTIVITY THIS MORNING WILL BEGIN ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS AND
ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. STORM MOTION WILL GENERALLY BE TOWARDS
THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING...BUT THE PRIMARY IMPACT TODAY
WILL BE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY PRODUCE TEMPORARY
FLOODING DUE TO POSSIBLE TRAINING OF CELLS.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE OVER LAND AREAS
TONIGHT AND LINGER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL
COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE FORECAST TRACK AND STRENGTH OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA IS STILL VERY UNCERTAIN INTO NEXT WEEK. INCREASING
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL WATERS ALONG WITH AN
ELEVATED THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE COAST.

THE EXPECTED SLOW MOVEMENT OF ERIKA OR ITS REMNANTS NEAR THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA NEXT WEEK MAY PRODUCE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS
OVER MUCH OF OUR AREA. THERE IS THE THREAT FOR MAJOR FLOODING
ALONG FAST RISING RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES SUCH AS BLACK CREEK AND
THE UPPER SANTA FE RIVER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-
291445-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1036 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2015

...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK ASSOCIATED WITH T.S
ERIKA...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS T.S ERIKA MAKES
FORWARD PROGRESSION TOWARDS THE LOCAL AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. A SLOW MOVING SYSTEM OVER THE LOCAL AREA COULD CREATE MAJOR
FLOODING ISSUES AREA WIDE AS RIVER LEVELS RISE IN RESPONSE.
ERIKAS TRACK AND SPEED WILL GREATLY EFFECT RAINFALL TOTALS OVER
THE AREA AND SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED AS THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST OF THIS SYSTEM.


$$

KG

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Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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