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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1001 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-020315-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
1001 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A MINNEAPOLIS TO WASHINGTON
LINE. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING IS STILL POSSIBLE...MAINLY
FROM NEAR MINNEAPOLIS INTO THE CLAY CENTER...WASHINGTON AND
MARYSVILLE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED MORNING STORMS WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY NOON.
ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. THESE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES CURRENTLY APPEARS TO BE IN EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS BETWEEN 5 PM AND 10 PM. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL
MOVE
INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH A FEW STRONG
STORMS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WELL.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS THURSDAY FOR AREAS EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED
WEST OF HIGHWAY 77 THIS EVENING.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
945 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-011000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
945 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...
PRIMARILY OVER FAR WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. A FEW STRONG
STORMS PRODUCING WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY
SHOULD DECREASE TOWARD AND AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES...AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT...WILL MOVE OVER THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS
WILL PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS.
A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE MAIN CONCERNS. THE HIGHEST
CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE OVER FAR NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE-35 WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
932 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
020245-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
932 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...
PRIMARILY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM STOCKTON
KANSAS TO YORK NEBRASKA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY.

SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...PRIMARILY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE
FROM ALMA...TO KEARNEY AND FULLERTON. QUARTER-SIZE
HAIL...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH...AND AN ISOLATED
TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE REST OF TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

ROSSI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
807 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-020115-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
807 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  THUNDERSTORMS MAY BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF
  THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS WEDNESDAY MORNING.
  SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
  HOWEVER THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING
  AS A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE REGION.

  AN EPISODE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO
  THURSDAY EVENING. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
  TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE STORMS.

  WITH MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND
  THURSDAY...THERE IS A LIMITED RISK FOR FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

BOXELL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
631 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-012345-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
631 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE TONIGHT.
 WHILE SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED THERE COULD BE LOCALIZED HEAVY
 RAIN AMOUNTS AND FLOODING ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI NORTHEASTERN
 KANSAS.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

 SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN LIKELY WEDNESDAY THROUGH
 THURSDAY.  THE SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS BEST ON WEDNESDAY EVENING
 WHEN A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND
 DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS. THERE IS ALSO A THREAT OF
 SEVERE WEATHER THURSDAY AFTERNOON... SOUTH OF A KIRKSVILLE TO KANSAS
 CITY LINE. IN ADDITION... PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
 WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES THURSDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
KANSAS IN RESPONSE TO AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO THE
NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 44...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...THERE IS A
LIMITED RISK OF AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44
CORRIDOR. A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS
WILL CONTINUE BEFORE THE STORMS BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY MID MORNING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...WITH
SOME SEVERE RISK DUE TO INCREASING INSTABILITY AND SHEAR.

A GREATER THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND INTO NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.
INSTABILITY AND BOTH LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED TORNADO. THE THUNDERSTORM AND SEVERE WEATHER THREATS
SHOULD DIMINISH SUBSTANTIALLY BY LATE THURSDAY EVENING AS DRIER
AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THEREAFTER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
319 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-012030-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
319 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT.
A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER ARE EXPECTED
ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AS A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES INTO KANSAS. THE MAIN SEVERE
RISKS APPEAR TO BE LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS
TO 70 MPH...AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY...MAINLY FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE TURNPIKE...A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
413 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-011000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
413 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT


SCATTERED RAINSHOWERS ALONG WITH A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING. A FEW
OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING EAST OF A HAYS TO MEADE
LINE. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH
WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS MAINLY NORTH CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. A FEW OF THESE STORMS LATE WEDNESDAY WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED EAST OF A HAYS TO MEADE LINE AFTER 4
PM.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE