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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
856 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS...

  CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON AFFECTING JACKSON AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES


RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL
FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF
FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL
FORECASTS.

OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OURADVANCED
HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS
CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN

&&

ARC067-147-220456-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140924T1200Z/
/PTTA4.1.ER.140915T0930Z.140918T1300Z.140923T0600Z.NO/
856 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.



&&


             FLD     OBSERVED                 FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

CACHE RIVER
  PATTERSON    8   8.8 SUN 08 AM    8.5    7.8    7.3    6.6    6.1


&&


LAT...LON 3510 9133 3522 9128 3539 9123 3538 9113
      3521 9117 3508 9122



$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
200 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
200 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE TODAY...AND DEVELOP
ISOLATED SHOWERS...WITH A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO POSSIBLE. THE THREAT
FOR ANY STRONG STORMS WILL BE VERY LOW...A THUNDERSTORM MAY PRODUCE
A BRIEF DOWNPOUR...GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING. THE FRONT WILL DRIFT
THROUGH THE ENTIRE STATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL SPILL INTO THE STATE IN THE WAKE OF
THE COLD FRONT. THE DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

226/59

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
101 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
101 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTH OF A LINE FROM BRISTOW OKLAHOMA TO FORT SMITH
               ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING...ENDING BY EARLY EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
ALONG A COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL PUSH TO NEAR THE RED RIVER BY
EARLY EVENING.  CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SEASONABLY COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK.  A STORM SYSTEM WILL PROGRESS INTO
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS AROUND MID WEEK...HOWEVER
AT THIS TIME ANY ASSOCIATED RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
WEST OF THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1135 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-221100-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1135 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY
DOWNPOURS...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...NO
ORGANIZED HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

09

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
412 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-221115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
412 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS EASTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHWESTERN
TENNESSEE...AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SMALL
HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. AN ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. STORMS
SHOULD DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY LATER THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY
AND SELF ACTIVATE AS NEEDED.

$$

JLH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
340 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-221100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
340 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY...
GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GRAHAM...TO HILLSBORO...
TO ATHENS. CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

25


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
140 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-212000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
140 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...

AT 1:40 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
EFFECTING PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS...MAINLY WITHIN CREEK...OKFUSKEE...NORTHERN LE FLORE...AND
SEBASTIAN COUNTIES. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE DEVELOPING ALONG
AND BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT WAS PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA. ALL
THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST...AROUND 30 MILES
PER HOUR.

THROUGH 3:00 PM...WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE SOUTH ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION WILL BE
LIGHT...WITH LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH PER HOUR EXPECTED. ANY
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE BRIEF MODERATE
RAINFALL...ALONG WITH LIGHTNING AND A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER.

$$

16

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E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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