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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
822 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on ourAdvanced
Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-300422-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/POCA4.1.ER.150313T0037Z.150318T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet overnight.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the river east and south
  of Pocahontas will be impacted by high water. Equipment and livestock
  should be moved to higher ground.

&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Black River
  Pocahontas  17  19.2 Sun 08 AM   19.4   19.2   19.1   19.0   18.9


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101



$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1254 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301130-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1254 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
        ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
        RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
        ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AND THEN DIMINISHING AFTER
MIDNIGHT. AIR MASS OVER THAT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL CAPPED
UNTIL EARLY EVENING. THEN...ELEVATED UNSTABLE LAYER WILL BE
AVAILABLE FOR POSSIBLE CONVECTION. STEEP LAPSE RATES INDICATE HAIL
WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

THERE IS ALSO A LIMITED RISK OF FIRE DANGER...MAINLY WEST OF
HIGHWAY 75. STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATER IN THE AFTERNOON
AND DROPPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE THE RISK. AROUND SUNSET...WINDS
WILL DIMINISH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE..ENDING THE
RISK.

THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...AS IT MOVES
SOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS COULD BE AROUND 25 MPH. FARTHER
SOUTH...AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WINDS COULD ALSO GUST UP TO NEAR 20
MPH...BUT FROM THE SOUTH. ALL THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AT SUNSET.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING IN SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL BE
ONGOING ON MONDAY MORNING. THE FRONT THAT PASSES THE AREA TONIGHT
WILL MOVE BACK AS A WARM FRONT...KEEPING LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
FOR SEVERAL DAYS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION MID
WEEK...AND PUSHES SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER
FOR SATURDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1136 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-301000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1136 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THIS EVENING...A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE STATE...WITH
INCREASING CHANCES FOR SOME SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT. A FEW OF THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL APPROACH SEVERE
LIMITS...WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL BE SEEN FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK AS A
SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE OVER THE STATE. THIS WILL KEEP SOME CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. HOWEVER...NO REAL ORGANIZED STRONG STORM SYSTEMS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE STATE...KEEPING THE OVERALL THREAT FOR
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER LOW. EVEN SO...THERE COULD BE AN
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL LOOKS LIMITED AT THIS TIME AS
WELL...THOUGH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BE SEEN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

62

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
521 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-301030-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
521 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY HIGH TO EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER IS FORECAST TODAY FOR
CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS FROM LATE MORNING
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SEE THE LATEST RED FLAG WARNING FOR MORE
DETAILS. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER IS FORECAST ON MONDAY...ROUGHLY
NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM SALINA TO MCPHERSON TO HUTCHINSON...AND
OVER ALL OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS ON WEDNESDAY AND
FRIDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS STARTING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE OKLAHOMA BORDER...WITH A BETTER CHANCE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
WENDESDAY NIGHT...ALONG AND EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

KETCHAM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
429 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-300930-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
429 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

EXTREME FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...AND A
RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER IS
EXPECTED IN THE REST OF THE AREA TODAY WITH STRONG NORTHWEST
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

VERY HIGH RANGELAND FIRE DANGER IS FORECAST FOR THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA ON MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH SOME STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
425 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-300930-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
425 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND BREEZY WINDS WILL CREATE ELEVATED FIRE
 WEATHER CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON. OPEN BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED IF
 POSSIBLE.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

 STORMS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
 IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.
 STAY TUNED FOR LATER UPDATES.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
334 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-301045-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
334 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR TO AS MUCH AS 7 DEGREES BELOW FREEZING
ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND MIDDLE
TENNESSEE AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE
ABOVE FREEZING BY MID MORNING. UNPROTECTED VEGETATION COULD BE
DAMAGED OR KILLED.

WIDESPREAD FROST IS EXPECTED FURTHER SOUTHWEST WHERE TEMPERATURES
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS COLD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE