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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia
  Anclote River At Elfers

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Withlacoochee At Trilby
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia

.Continued heavy rain is forecast this week will add to the following already elevated rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC027-011455-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.2.ER.150818T0230Z.150902T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 08 PM Monday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by Wednesday morning then
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Peace River Campground floods and 6 homes at River
  Acres are impacted.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet on Jul 6
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Arcadia      11 13.3  Mon  8 PM  13.7   14.2   14.1   13.9   13.6


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia
  Anclote River At Elfers

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Withlacoochee At Trilby
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia

.Continued heavy rain is forecast this week will add to the following already elevated rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC027-011455-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-150905T1800Z/
/ARHF1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.150830T1900Z.150905T1200Z.NO/
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning continues
for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Royal Park Estates are affected near State Road 72.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet on Sep 26
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12 14.6  Mon  8 PM  14.4   13.9   13.3   12.7   12.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia
  Anclote River At Elfers

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Withlacoochee At Trilby
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia

.Continued heavy rain is forecast this week will add to the following already elevated rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC049-011455-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-150905T0600Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.150830T0548Z.150831T1545Z.150905T0000Z.NO/
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* Until late Friday night.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.6 feet on Oct 11
  2011.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16 17.5  Mon  8 PM  17.4   17.0   16.7   16.2   15.7


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia
  Anclote River At Elfers

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Withlacoochee At Trilby
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia

.Continued heavy rain is forecast this week will add to the following already elevated rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC053-101-011455-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.1.ER.150815T2245Z.150829T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Trilby
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.7 feet tomorrow morning
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 14.2 feet...River road east of the river is flooded. One campsite
  at the park is flooded. Peterson Park is flooded and closed. One home on
  Cercelia road is isolated. The Florida Campland is flooded. Wood River Court
  homes are isolated. And the Withlacoochee River canoe rental is flooded.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4 feet on Sep 7
  2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Withlacoochee
 Trilby       12 13.7  Mon  8 PM  13.7   13.5   13.3   13.0   12.6


&&


LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia
  Anclote River At Elfers

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Withlacoochee At Trilby
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia

.Continued heavy rain is forecast this week will add to the following already elevated rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC101-011455-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150903T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.6 feet Friday morning then
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet on Sep 30
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8  9.6  Mon  9 PM   9.9   10.4   10.6   10.5   10.2


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia
  Anclote River At Elfers

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Withlacoochee At Trilby
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia

.Continued heavy rain is forecast this week will add to the following already elevated rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC101-011455-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0035.150902T2230Z-150904T1800Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.150902T2230Z.150903T0600Z.150904T1200Z.NO/
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues
for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* From Wednesday evening through Friday afternoon.
* At 09 PM Monday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday evening and
  continue to rise to near 20.2 feet by early Thursday morning.the river is
  expected to fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.6 feet on Mar 14
  2010.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Anclote River
 Elfers       20 15.9  Mon  9 PM  16.8   19.3   20.2   20.0   19.0


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia
  Anclote River At Elfers

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Withlacoochee At Trilby
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia

.Continued heavy rain is forecast this week will add to the following already elevated rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-011455-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.150727T1300Z.150901T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Monday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.1 feet by early tomorrow afternoon
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet on Sep 9
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7  8.9  Mon  9 PM   9.0    9.0    8.8    8.6    8.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
951 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-020200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION-
BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-
WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
951 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...MINOR FLOODING AT THE SOUTH FORK OF BLACK CREEK TONIGHT...

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT...

RIVER HEIGHTS HAVE LEVELED OFF THIS EVENING ALONG THE SOUTH FORK
OF BLACK CREEK. MINOR FLOOD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT.

CONTINUED THREAT OF RAINFALL INDUCED MINOR FLOODING TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA MAY PRODUCE
HEAVY RAINS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
THERE IS THE THREAT FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ALONG FAST
RISING RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES SUCH AS BLACK CREEK AND THE UPPER
SANTA FE RIVER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR
THEIR LOCATIONS AND TO RELAY REPORTS OF FLOODING.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
917 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
011330-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
917 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$
KONARIK

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE