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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
434 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011130-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
434 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA...
                AFTER MIDNIGHT IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TONIGHT
IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM.  WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE HALF INCH WILL BE LIKELY WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS APPROACHING AN INCH POSSIBLE IN A FEW AREAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT SUNDAY WILL PRODUCE
GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH AT TIMES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THE STRONG
WINDS AND DRIER AIR WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. HOWEVER...THESE SAME AREAS
WILL RECEIVE RAINFALL TONIGHT...AND THIS WILL MORE THAN LIKELY
LIMIT THE THREAT OVERALL.

THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTRY WEATHER WITH SOME IMPACTS REMAINS WITH
THE NEXT FRONT AND UPPER STORM SYSTEM FORECAST TO SWEEP ACROSS
THE PLAINS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY IN THE
DETAILS REMAINS HIGH...SO CHECK BACK FOR UPDATES TO THE FORECAST
AS THIS TIME GETS CLOSER.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
400 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-012200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
400 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT...RESULTING IN THE
WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A DUSTING TO
PERHAPS ONE INCH OF SNOW ALONG INTERSTATE 70.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ANY LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE AREA WILL END EARLY ON SUNDAY WITH
LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.

WIND CHILL VALUES MAY FALL TO AROUND ZERO LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR
EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS.

A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW IS AGAIN POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

KED/KETCHAM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
336 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
336 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT WILL IMPACT AREAS GENERALLY SOUTH
OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE
PRIMARY HAZARD WITH ANY STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN AREAS SOUTH OF THE I-20
CORRIDOR ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

25


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
306 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-312300-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
306 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

.NOW...

AT 3:00 PM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE AFFECTING MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
MCALESTER...TO SILOAM SPRINGS. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS HAD REMAINED
VERY LIGHT...WITH AROUND A HUNDREDTH OR TWO PER HOUR. ALL THIS
ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AROUND 35 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 5:00 PM...LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT...WITH BETWEEN
A TRACE TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH PER HOUR. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING...SO NO FROZEN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

$$

16

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
203 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-312300-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
203 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

.NOW...
RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. MOST OF THE RAIN WAS OCCURRING
ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR...BUT THERE WERE SMALL PATCHES
OCCURRING TO THE EAST. SO FAR RAIN AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN LIGHT OVERALL...
BUT THEY SHOULD INCREASE AS THE DAY WEARS ON. AMOUNTS THROUGH 6
PM...MIGHT AVERAGE AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH FROM I-35
WESTWARD WITH MORE EXPECTED OVER NIGHT AREA WIDE.


OTHERWISE...SKIES WILL REMAIN CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST
WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE MID 40S TO
AROUND 50 WHERE THE RAIN IS STEADY...BUT IN THE LOW TO
UPPER 50S ELSEWHERE.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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