Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
833 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
OKLAHOMA...

  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY.

OKC115-220933-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130523T0848Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.130521T1516Z.130522T0600Z.130523T0248Z.NO/
833 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  700 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.98 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO
  NEAR 16.5 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.
  RIVERVIEW PARK EXPERIENCES MINOR FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

Flood Advisory

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
436 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

KSC021-221600-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FA.Y.0035.130521T2136Z-130522T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHEROKEE KS-
436 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1100 AM CDT WEDNESDAY.

* AT 428 PM CDT...THE CHEROKEE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT DIRECTOR
REPORTED THAT FLOODING WAS ONGOING ALONG THREE DIFFERENT CREEKS
ACROSS WESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY.  LOW LYING ROADS ALONG
LIGHTNING...CHERRY...AND FLY CREEKS WERE FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE TO
MOTORISTS IN A FEW SPOTS.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL IS CAUSING MINOR FLOODING.
  CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 9508 3734 9492 3728 9493 3730 9484
      3726 9486 3725 9483 3717 9492 3711 9485
      3709 9484 3708 9491 3699 9502 3699 9507
      3701 9508

$$

CRAMER

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
944 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
944 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL AND
WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THE PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS
EVENING HAS FORCED THE COLD FRONT EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN TEXAS. IN RESPONSE...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS SHIFTED WELL EAST OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AS DRY AND STABLE
AIR CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MAY 22.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...0 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA DUE TO
PREVIOUS DAYS OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. STORMS TOMORROW...IF THEY FORM AT ALL...ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS LATE
THURSDAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5
AM WEDNESDAY.

$$

KURTZ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
754 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-230100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
754 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED FOG RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A
  LINE FROM BRANSON TO ROUND SPRING. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
  EXPECTED.

  PATCHY FOG WITH VISIBILITIES DOWN TO A MILE OR LESS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND WINDS BECOME
  LIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND INTO
  MONDAY AS A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES APPROACH FROM THE WEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

GAGAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
652 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-221115-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
652 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING OVER CENTRAL
MISSOURI. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS
THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA. AT THIS TIME...THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER
IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

$$

BLAIR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
501 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-222215-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
501 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE WILL BE PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS FROM THURSDAY
INTO MONDAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

BILLINGS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
457 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...CRITICAL.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET..ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A LINE OF STRONG STORMS HAS WORKED ITS WAY ENTIRELY OUT OF THE
AREA... WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN CONTAINING EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUING BEHIND IT. PRECIPITATION WILL SLOWLY END FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING. UNTIL THEN... MODERATE RAIN
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA WILL ADD TO ALREADY
HIGH TOTAL AMOUNTS. AREAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE
THIS EVENING AS RUNOFF PERSISTS. A LIMITED THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE
STORM WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
UNTIL THE UPPER SYSTEM FINALLY MOVES PAST THE AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE AREA LATER THIS
WEEK AND WILL THEN REMAIN IN THE VICINITY FOR SEVERAL DAYS.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY FROM THURSDAY
THROUGH MONDAY AS A RESULT.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$