Tactical Decision Aids
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404 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 //ORD AND MDW CONCERNS...UPDATED 09Z..

* SOUTHERLY WINDS 10-12 KTS MID MORNING THRU LATE AFTERNOON

* CHANCE OF SHRA LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING

* MVFR CIGS TONIGHT. CMS //DISCUSSION...UPDATED 06Z..

A WEAK COLD FRONT/TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...AS IT WEAKENS. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL TURN MORE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST BY MID MORNING AND INCREASE INTO THE 10-12KT RANGE WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE THRU EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST IL BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. NO CHANGE TO TIMING WHICH LOOKS ON TRACK BUT OVERALL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY REMAINS SOMEWHAT LOWER AT THE CHICAGO AREA TERMINALS AND BACKED OFF TO VICINITY MENTION FOR NOW. CIGS SHOULD REMAIN VFR UNTIL THE SHOWERS END AND THEN LOWER TO MVFR THIS EVENING...EARLIER AT RFD. AS CLOUDS CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...SOME FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE. CMS //ORD AND MDW CONFIDENCE...UPDATED 09Z..

* HIGH FOR WIND DIRECTION...MEDIUM FOR SPEEDS AND POSSIBLE GUSTS

* MEDIUM FOR SHRA LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING

* MEDIUM FOR MVFR CIGS TONIGHT. CMS //OUTLOOK FOR ORD/MDW FOR 12Z FRIDAY-12Z WEDNESDAY...UPDATED 00Z..

* FRIDAY...DRY/VFR. SOUTHWEST WINDS

* SATURDAY...DRY/VFR. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS

* SUNDAY...DRY/VFR. SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS

* MONDAY...SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS

* TUESDAY...CHANCE OF SHRA. STRONG/GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS

KMD
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