Tactical Decision Aids
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1121 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015 //ORD AND MDW CONCERNS...UPDATED 06Z..

* GUSTY SW WINDS WITH MAX GUSTS UP TO 25 KT IN THE AFTN

* MVFR CIGS ARE PSBL FRIDAY EVENING

JEE //DISCUSSION...UPDATED 06Z..

HIGH PRESSURE IS SLOWLY SHIFTING SOUTHEAST AND WINDS WILL BECOME SE TO SSE OVERNIGHT. THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS TOMORROW WITH SSE WINDS GUSTING TO ARND 21 KT BY 14Z. GUSTS INCREASE TO ARND 24 KT BY MID DAY AS WINDS VEER SLIGHTLY TO SE. A WEAKENING SFC TROUGH AND BOUNDARY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY EVENING AND A FAIR NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS FEATURE MVFR OR IFR CIGS WITH THE TROUGH. HAVE LIMITED CONFIDENCE IN THE CIGS AS GUIDANCE CAN BE OVER ZEALOUS WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...BUT PUT A SCT MVFR CIG IN THE TAF. SE WINDS DIMINISH TO ARND 10 KT IN THE EVENING

JEE //ORD AND MDW CONFIDENCE...UPDATED 06Z..

* LOW CONFIDENCE IN MVFR OR LOWER CIGS DEVELOPING FRIDAY EVENING

* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ALL OTHER FORECAST ELEMENTS

JEE //OUTLOOK FOR ORD/MDW FOR 12Z SATURDAY-12Z THURSDAY...UPDATED 00Z..

* SATURDAY...DRY/VFR. WEST WINDS

* SUNDAY...SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. SOUTHWEST WINDS

* MONDAY THRU WEDNESDAY...DRY/VFR. WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS.
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